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USD/CHF hovers near 0.8050, 14-year lows due to rising US uncertainty, safe-haven demand

  • USD/CHF faces challenges as the US Dollar (USD) struggles against a backdrop of escalating economic and political uncertainty in the United States.
  • The political and economic uncertainty in the US has amplified the safe-haven demand for the CHF.
  • President Trump openly criticized Fed Chair Jerome Powell, reigniting concerns about the central bank’s autonomy.

USD/CHF continues to slide for the third consecutive session, trading near 0.8070 during Tuesday’s Asian session. The pair remains under pressure as the US Dollar (USD) struggles against a backdrop of escalating economic and political uncertainty in the United States.

This uncertainty has amplified the Swiss Franc’s (CHF) earlier gains, initially fueled by President Donald Trump’s aggressive reciprocal tariff proposals. These developments have driven investors toward safer assets, such as foreign currencies and gold, away from USD-denominated securities. The CHF’s recent strength against the Euro has also sparked speculation that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may intervene in the currency markets or even revisit negative interest rate policies.

Investor sentiment remains fragile due to the ongoing deadlock in global trade negotiations, particularly with China pushing back against Trump’s tariff measures. Further concerns were triggered by Trump’s proposed investigation into critical mineral imports, raising fears of slower economic growth and rising inflation. These factors have bolstered safe-haven demand for the CHF, putting additional downward pressure on the USD/CHF pair.

Sentiment was further dampened after Trump publicly criticized Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell, renewing concerns over the Fed’s independence. Adding to the uncertainty, White House economic advisor Kevin Hassett revealed that Trump is exploring whether he has the authority to remove Powell. In a Truth Social post, Trump also warned that the US economy could face a slowdown unless the Fed acts swiftly to cut interest rates.

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