- EUR/JPY attracts some buyers for the fourth straight day amid a broadly weaker JPY.
- The BoJ rate-hike uncertainty and a positive risk tone weigh on the safe-haven JPY.
- Traders now look to the preliminary Eurozone inflation report for a fresh impetus.
The EUR/JPY cross prolongs its uptrend for the fourth consecutive day and climbs to a nearly three-week peak, around the 172.75-172.80 region during the Asian session on Tuesday. The intraday move up is exclusively sponsored by the heavily offered tone surrounding the Japanese Yen (JPY) and seems rather unaffected by a modest downtick in the shared currency.
Against the backdrop of the uncertainty over the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ), a positive tone around the Asian equity markets is seen as a key factor undermining demand for the safe-haven JPY. The Euro, on the other hand, is pressured by a modest US Dollar (USD) rebound, though it does little to hinder the EUR/JPY pair’s recovery momentum from the vicinity of the 171.00 mark touched last Thursday.
Any meaningful downside for the EUR, however, seems limited on the back of diminishing odds that the European Central Bank (ECB) will lower interest rates in the near term. The expectations were lifted by the higher-than-expected German inflation data for August. The preliminary Eurozone HICP data for August, due for release later today, would offer more cues on inflation in the region, which should provide some impetus to the EUR/JPY cross.
Meanwhile, the growing acceptance that the BoJ will stick to its policy normalization path marks a significant divergence in comparison to a relatively dovish ECB outlook. This, in turn, might keep a lid on any further gains for the EUR/JPY cross and warrants some caution for bulls ahead of the crucial inflation data.
