NATGAS

TTF Prices Ease as Norway Supply Risks Recede

European natural gas futures slipped more than 1% to €33.1 per megawatt-hour, after an over 8% gain in the previous week, as supply curbs at Norway’s giant Troll field are expected to be less severe than feared. Still, Norwegian maintenance at multiple facilities will temporarily reduce flows, keeping markets cautious. Europe is focused on stockpiling gas ahead of the heating season: EU inventories stand at 75.5% versus nearly 91% in 2024, with Germany lagging at 68.6%, while Italy and France hold 87.4% and 83.8% respectively. Geopolitical risks remain elevated, with the war in Ukraine dragging on and no signs of peace talks. Ukraine continues targeting Russian energy infrastructure, striking the Baltic port of Ust-Luga over the weekend, while US President Trump warned of further sanctions on Moscow.

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