US 10-Year Yield Holds Near 5-Month Low
The yield on the 10-year US Treasury hovered around 4.03% on Friday, staying near a five-month low as in-line inflation data bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve policy easing amid labor market weakness. The August CPI report showed consumer prices rising 0.4% on the month, slightly above forecasts, while the annual rate held at 2.9%, matching expectations. Jobless claims also pointed to a softer labor backdrop, climbing 27K to 263K, the highest since 2021. Markets are now pricing in about a 93% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed’s September 17 meeting, with odds of a larger half-point move edging higher. The latest figures followed Wednesday’s weaker-than-expected producer price data, further reinforcing expectations of a September rate cut.