United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD remains supported within the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s policy band, with SGD NEER likely between 1.50% and 1.80% above midpoint, implying a 1.279–1.283 range. Short-term price action shows limited upward momentum, with resistance near 1.2835 and revised strong support at 1.2775.

Dollar-Singapore pair stuck in tight band

“24-HOUR VIEW: Two days ago, USD rose to 1.2810 and then closed 0.10% higher at 1.2797.” Yesterday, we noted that “the increase in upward momentum is insufficient to suggest a sustained rise.” However, we held the view that “there is a chance for USD to edge above 1.2810.” We added, “the major resistance at 1.2835 is unlikely to come into view.” USD subsequently rose to 1.2827 before easing to close 0.10% higher at 1.2810. There has been no further increase in upward momentum. Today, we expect USD to trade in a range, most likely between 1.2785 and 1.2820.”

“1-3 WEEKS VIEW: The following are excerpts from our update yesterday (08 Oct, spot at 1.2795): “While upward momentum is building again, it is weaker than before, and USD is unlikely to reach 1.2835. On the downside, a breach of 1.2765 (‘strong support’ level) would indicate a period of range-trading.” There is no change in our view, but we are revising the ‘strong support’ level higher to 1.2775.”