Institutional
Institutional, RBC
United States: Growth and labour momentum support US Dollar – RBC Economics
RBC Economics notes that U.S. growth and labour-market momentum remain strong, with GDP forecasts revised higher to an average of 2.4% in 2026–2027 and unemployment expected near historical lows at 4.2%. Rising core inflation and producer-price data suggest building pressures, reinforcing expectations for further Fed tightening and a larger U.S. hiking cycle relative to Canada. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 days ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
US 10-year yield: Up move eyes 5.36% – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s rates team notes a sharp advance in 10‑year US Treasuries after defending key trendline support near 4.81%, with yields now challenging the 50‑day moving average. The bank sees scope for consolidation between 4.81% and 5.05%, but if resistance breaks, a larger move towards the 5.16%–5.18% gap and October’s high around 5.36% is envisaged. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 days ago
Institutional, Rabobank
Iran conflict: US strategy split and blockade risks – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Global Daily outlines diverging US positions on Iran, with Vice-President Vance exploring direct talks while President Donald Trump criticises the existing MoU and demands “total victory.” Blockade dilemmas and security threats “US Vice-President Vance is reportedly considering direct talks with Iran’s key hard-liner Mohsen Rezai in another push to end the war.” “In the […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 days ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
EUR/USD: Slippery slope if 1.10 breaks – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights renewed Dollar strength pressuring EUR/USD towards the key 1.10 level, with the pair already below its 200-week moving average and challenging the May 2025 trough. Euro pressured by rates and politics “EUR/USD down 10 big figures since January and in trouble after erasing 200wma (1.1110).” “Throw in the uncertainty relating […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 days ago
ING, Institutional
CEE FX: Strong Dollar and energy rebound weigh – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky notes that rising global energy prices and a stronger Dollar are pressuring Central and Eastern European currencies. EUR/PLN is near 4.420, EUR/CZK at its highest since mid-October, and EUR/HUF above 365. ING maintains a bearish view on CEE FX, expecting further downside for regional currencies as markets follow the broader global […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 days ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
USD/JPY: Intervention risk near 160 – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes USD/JPY trading just below 160, with Japan’s Ministry of Finance warning markets not to forget FX intervention risks as yields and Dollar strength persist. The pair has reached its highest level since early September before meeting resistance near 160, with clearly defined support and resistance levels and sizeable option strikes that could […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 days ago
BBH, Institutional
US Dollar: Rally cools as Fed talk eyed – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the Dollar Index has retreated from its post-October CPI highs, with the USD rally seen as stretched versus rate differentials. He highlights that stagnant US real wages may cap expectations for a 50bps Fed hike in December. USD rally seen stretched near term “The dollar index (DXY) has […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 days ago
BBH, Institutional
British Pound: Resilient data backs BoE hikes – BBH
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) reports that the Pound (GBP) showed limited reaction to solid UK Q3 GDP, with 0.7% q/q growth driven by consumption and investment. Swaps still price a high probability of back-to-back Bank of England (BOE) hikes, pushing rates above neutral and raising future growth risks. For now, resilient UK […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 days ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
S&P 500: Higher yields weigh on equities – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts report that the strong US CPI data and hawkish Fed commentary sparked a selloff in US Treasuries and pressured US equities. The S&P 500 slipped as investors priced faster hikes, with Tech and AI-linked names underperforming initially. However, a revenue beat and upgraded guidance from CoreWeave later supported futures, pointing to some […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
BBH, Institutional
US Dollar: Hot CPI supports stronger rate hike odds – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that a hotter-than-expected US October CPI report boosted the Dollar, triggered a sell-off in Treasuries led by the short end, and weighed on US stocks. Hot CPI shifts Fed expectations “Yesterday’s hot US October CPI jolted markets. USD rallied across the board, Treasuries sold-off led by the short-end, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 days ago