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Ahead of the Fed: will Warsh bite the bullet? The markets are in an optimistic mood ahead of the key Federal Reserve meeting later tonight. Bond yields are dropping, the oil price is moderating and Brent crude is back below $107 per barrel, equity indices are higher, with US indices also expected to open higher […]
The US technology sector has run out of steam following months of buoyant growth. Although the Nasdaq 100 index still boasts a solid year-to-date return of 14.6%, recent weeks have brought a marked cooling in sentiment. Over the past month, the index has slipped by 3.7%, and it now stands 5.6% below its record highs. […]
UK inflation data was in line with expectations, at 3.1% for August. This is a rise from 2.9% in July, and is inline with expectations. Of course, the real shock to price growth will be September, when oil prices surged above $100 and the price of unleaded petrol and gas rose to their highest levels […]
Copper is attempting to stabilise after its latest correction, with the broader technical structure continuing to point toward an underlying bullish trend. The metal has recently experienced increased volatility after reaching record levels, with the latest pullback taking prices toward an important technical support area. On September 16, copper was recovering around the $14,000-per-tonne region […]
Wednesday will be dominated by the US Fed’s evening decision (7:00 PM) – the most anticipated central bank meeting of the year. The market has almost fully priced in a 25 bps rate hike, the first since July 2023. Figure 1: Change in Market-Implied Probability of the Fed’s September Rate Hike (2025 – 2026) Source: […]
Today Markets Analysis: US live cattle futures moved lower across the board on Tuesday, while feeder cattle suffered a sharper decline as traders balanced weaker futures against firm cash cattle prices and stronger wholesale beef values. October 2026 live cattle settled at $220.70 per cwt, down $1.55, while December fell $1.80 to $223.35. Feeder cattle […]
Today Markets Analysis: Wheat futures strengthened across all three major US exchanges on Tuesday, with Chicago SRW, Kansas City HRW and Minneapolis spring wheat contracts closing higher. The rally reflects a combination of geopolitical risk surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict, fresh international demand from Algeria and tighter expectations for French wheat production. December 2026 CBOT wheat […]
Today Markets Analysis: Coffee prices came under renewed pressure on Tuesday, with December arabica coffee falling 2.36% to 283.25 cents per pound and November robusta declining 1.53% to $3,476 per tonne. The latest weakness reflects improving crop conditions in Brazil and Vietnam, record Brazilian exports and expectations for a larger global coffee surplus. However, the […]
Today Markets Analysis: December ICE New York cocoa futures fell 1.66% to 5,920 on Tuesday, while December ICE London cocoa declined 1.55% to 4,307. The latest move lower reflects growing evidence of adequate near-term supply, particularly from Ivory Coast, although concerns over the quality and size of the next West African crop continue to provide […]
Today Markets Analysis: UK inflation accelerated to 3.1% in August 2026, rising from 2.9% in July and reaching its highest level in five months. At the same time, core inflation remained at 2.6% for a fourth consecutive month, while producer prices accelerated sharply, highlighting persistent underlying price pressures across the UK economy. The latest data […]
