Today Markets Analysis: Crude oil has fallen back below $105 per barrel, retreating from four-month highs after US industry data showed a surprisingly large increase in crude inventories despite worsening supply disruptions across the Middle East. The pullback highlights the growing tension between a bearish US inventory signal and an increasingly fragile global supply picture. […]
Today Markets Analysis: Palladium has rebounded toward $1,320 per ounce, recovering from a three-week low as a softer US dollar and renewed short covering provide support ahead of the Federal Reserve’s latest policy decision. The recovery comes alongside broader gains across precious metals, with markets pricing a 92.4% probability of at least a 25-basis-point rate […]
Today Markets Analysis: Gold has climbed back above $4,300 an ounce, recovering after two consecutive sessions of losses as the recent momentum in oil prices and global bond yields began to fade ahead of the latest US Federal Reserve policy decision. The move higher comes as markets reassess the competing forces driving bullion. Lower momentum […]
We are facing the most anticipated central bank meeting of 2026. On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will announce its decision on interest rates. The market currently seems almost convinced that the statement, scheduled for release at 7:00 PM, will mention a 25 basis point rate increase, the first since July 2023. What does the data […]
The interest rate market has undergone a quiet but dramatic transformation in recent weeks. Just a month ago, investors were pricing in a moderate normalisation of monetary policy; today, the implied yield curves for most major economies paint a very different picture: a series of significant rate rises spread over the coming quarters. This is […]
ICE cocoa futures (COCOA) are down around 3% today as the market once again focuses on improving near-term physical availability and elevated inventories. Pressure on prices is being reinforced by strong cocoa arrivals at ports in Côte d’Ivoire and ICE-monitored inventories remaining at relatively high levels. This is easing concerns about immediate supply shortages ahead […]
Gold breaks important support levels a day ahead of the Fed decision, during which the market is largely confident of an interest rate hike Gold is down about 0.75% today, pulling back toward $4,266 per ounce on the eve of the Federal Reserve decision. Short-term investors fear position reductions in gold due to sharply rising […]
Commodity Overview It is worth noting the low RSI on the part of coffee, gold, and nickel, while at the same time an extremely high level is found on oil and European gas. Source: XTB Natgas European Natgas is already trading around 83 EUR/MWh, approaching resistance associated with the 127.2 Fibonacci retracement of the March-April […]
Gold continues its September sell-off. An ounce is currently trading below $4,270, representing its lowest level in five weeks. The precious metal has lost nearly 9% relative to its August peak, with September alone bringing a drop of over 3%. Figure 1: Gold and US 10-Year Treasury Yield [Inverted Axis] (2026) Source: XTB Research, 15.09.2026 […]
Market Bias: Bearish Technical Setup EUR/GBP has rejected the 0.8585 resistance level, reinforcing the recent bearish structure. On the daily timeframe, the pair is also trading below its 100-period exponential moving average (EMA), keeping the broader technical bias tilted to the downside. The 0.8585 area represents an important technical confluence zone, with resistance aligning with […]