Chris Turner at ING discusses the British Pound as EUR/GBP moves noticeably lower, suggesting emerging Euro weakness and a changing UK narrative. He highlights UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s speech on moving closer to Europe, including a possible push to rejoin the EU after the next election. Turner notes markets would likely view EU re-entry positively and watches for Sterling support into a planned UK‑EU summit.

Sterling reacts to EU rejoin debate

“EUR/GBP has come noticeably lower this week. One could argue that independent euro weakness is starting to emerge here given that the usual hedge for eurozone political/budgetary risk, EUR/CHF, is being heavily driven by the rate spread story.”

“Any move by the UK to rejoin the EU would likely be seen as a positive by the foreign exchange market, having witnessed sterling’s crash following the Brexit vote in 2016. Obviously, we are years away from any clarity here, but let’s see whether sterling catches a bid into a supposed UK-EU summit due around 20 November.”