DBS
DBS, Institutional
China: Robust trade and rising prices – DBS
DBS Group Research expects China’s exports to grow 25.7% year-on-year in September, supported by strong electronics demand and improving manufacturing PMIs. The report notes strengthening external trade indicators and freight activity, alongside a rebound in factory-gate and raw material prices, with CPI inflation seen edging up to 1.0% but still constrained by soft domestic demand. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
Euro: Pressured yet systemic risk contained – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee explains that EUR/USD’s four-week decline reflects shifting risk balances, with renewed Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening overshadowing the European Central Bank (ECB) and France’s fiscal issues overshadowing US concerns. He cautions against extrapolating French stress into a broader Eurozone crisis, emphasizing that current OAT-Bund spread widening is a repricing of known problems […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
India rates: Spreads seen narrowing further – DBS
DBS Group Research strategist Sherilyn Chew contrasts India’s domestic backdrop with Indonesia, arguing India is deeper into a tightening phase. Markets are pricing a possible Reserve Bank of India (RBI) hike in October, with liquidity surplus falling after RBI draining measures. She notes wider 5-year IGB-OIS spreads post-FCNR(B) closure and compressed 2s10s, seeing scope for […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
Swiss Franc: SNB preview signals steady policy – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee expects the Swiss National Bank to keep its policy rate unchanged at 0% at the September 24 meeting, despite higher energy prices and a modest uptick in headline inflation. He sees scope for a near-term inflation forecast upgrade, but notes that Swiss growth has improved and CHF haven pressures […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
DBS, Institutional
Chinese Yuan: Pre-summit support and firmer bias – DBS
Chang Wei Liang at DBS Group Research highlights that USD/CNH is easing toward 6.70 despite a stronger Dollar, with the Renminbi (RMB) supported by a lower USD/CNY fixing below 6.76. He links this to possible goodwill from China ahead of the Trump–Xi summit and expects RMB to strengthen further into next Thursday’s meeting as markets […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
DBS, Institutional
Taiwan Dollar: CBC seen on hold before December hike – DBS
DBS Group Research expects Taiwan’s central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged on September 17, before raising it to 2.125% in December. Analysts Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang highlight subdued August CPI, but anticipate a somewhat hawkish tone as the CBC remains vigilant on supply‑side inflation risks, higher wages and recovering domestic consumption. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
DBS, Institutional
Euro: Support at 180 eyed against Yen on BoJ risk – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee argues that downside risk in EUR/JPY is less straightforward than in CHF/JPY. He notes that Euro (EUR) strength versus the Swiss Franc (CHF) and British Pound (GBP), and an anti-USD trade, support the Euro as markets price in rate hikes from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, he warns […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
Malaysia: Hawkish pause keeps options open – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng notes that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) held the Overnight Policy Rate at 2.75% while dropping language that the current level is appropriate. DBS expects rates to remain unchanged through 2026 but sees risks tilted towards a one-off policy normalisation. BNM holds but signals flexibility “Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) maintained its […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
US Dollar: Warsh speech supports greenback – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike. Wee stresses that Warsh reaffirmed his inflation-first stance and avoided detailed forward guidance, leaving structural long-bond and de-dollarisation risks for the […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
Philippine Peso: BSP tightening bias on inflation risks – DBS
DBS Group Research economists Radhika Rao and Chua Han Teng note that Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 5.0% to anchor inflation expectations and support the Peso. Philippine Peso (PHP) is the only ASEAN-6 currency weaker in 3Q26 versus the Dollar, and DBS flags above-target inflation as leaving […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 months ago