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DBS Group Research expects Taiwanโs central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged on September 17, before raising it to 2.125% in December. Analysts Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang highlight subdued August CPI, but anticipate a somewhat hawkish tone as the CBC remains vigilant on supplyโside inflation risks, higher wages and recovering domestic consumption. […]
DBS strategist Philip Wee argues that downside risk in EUR/JPY is less straightforward than in CHF/JPY. He notes that Euro (EUR) strength versus the Swiss Franc (CHF) and British Pound (GBP), and an anti-USD trade, support the Euro as markets price in rate hikes from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, he warns […]
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng notes that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) held the Overnight Policy Rate at 2.75% while dropping language that the current level is appropriate. DBS expectsย ratesย to remain unchanged through 2026 but sees risks tilted towards a one-off policy normalisation. BNM holds but signals flexibility “Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) maintained its […]
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warshโs Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike. Wee stresses that Warsh reaffirmed his inflation-first stance and avoided detailed forward guidance, leaving structural long-bond and de-dollarisation risks for the […]
DBS Group Research economists Radhika Rao and Chua Han Teng note that Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 5.0% to anchor inflation expectations and support the Peso. Philippine Peso (PHP) is the only ASEAN-6 currency weaker in 3Q26 versus the Dollar, and DBS flags above-target inflation as leaving […]
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to keep its Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 2.75% on September 3, maintaining the stance adopted after its July 2025 insurance cut. They highlight contained Malaysian inflation and robust 2026 growth near 5%, arguing there is little urgency for rate hikes despite […]
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect South Koreaโs August exports to stay strong near 60% year-on-year, underpinning theย outlookย for the KOSPI and Korean Won (KRW) even as growth moderates from Juneโs peak. They also see headline and core CPI around 3%, reinforcing its view that further Bank of Korea (BoK) rate hikes are […]
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect Indiaโs 1QFY27 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to confirm that the economy has weathered geopolitical disruptions better than initially feared. They note stronger consumption gauges, improving production, and ongoing support from services and exports, even as muted wealth effects, soft fuel demand and higher energy costs weigh […]
BS Group Researchโs Philip Wee notes AUD/USD has risen 2.2% in August after a 1.5% gain in July, leaving the Australian Dollar near year-to-date highs and the best-performing G10 currency in 2026. The move is driven by swift repricing of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike in November following hawkish minutes and upside […]
DBS Bank strategist Philip Wee argues that Fed Chairman Kevin Warshโs rejection of forward guidance is amplifying market volatility and complicating the policy mix with the Treasury. He warns that without a clear framework, reduced guidance could be seen less as a return to market price discovery and more as a source of uncertainty for […]
