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OCBC
Institutional, OCBC
Euro: Range-bound risks against US Dollar with ECB focus – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes EUR/USD is holding near 1.16 as a softer US Dollar (USD) and firmer Euro-area data offset higher Oil prices. Strong expectations for a 25bp European Central Bank (ECB) hike and improving Euro-area sentiment are seen limiting Euro downside in the near term, though elevated Oil and political uncertainty in Germany keep […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Institutional, OCBC
Indonesian Rupiah: Two-way risks around support levels – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that USD/IDR has pulled back as a softer Dollar and lower UST yields support the Indonesian Rupiah. He highlights Bank Indonesia Governor Destry Damayanti’s emphasis on a stability-first approach, prioritizing Rupiah and macro stability while still supporting growth. Wong sees near-term support for IDR but flags elevated Oil prices and high global yields […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Indian Rupee: Dollar inflows support INR but impulse may fade – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that strong foreign-currency inflows linked to the RBI’s special measures have bolstered the Indian Rupee (INR) and strengthened the central bank’s FX buffer. However, with the FCNR(B) window now closed, the exceptional near-term dollar supply is expected to fade, potentially leading to more two-way RBI management. Wong adds that USD/INR remains under bearish […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Gold: Rebound on softer Fed expectations – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports Gold rebounded over 2% towards 4510 as Waller’s comments led markets to pare September Fed hike expectations, lowering UST yields and the Dollar. Wong remains constructive but notes near-term direction will hinge on Fed repricing, with upcoming payrolls, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) key. Geopolitical tensions are marginally supportive, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Brent Oil: Geopolitics delay supply recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong raise their end-2026 Brent forecast to USD 80/bbl from USD 75/bbl as Middle East supply disruptions prove more prolonged. They note falling inventories, rising transport costs and emerging diesel shortages as key constraints. Brent has traded above USD 90/bbl on escalating US–Iran tensions and persistent risks around […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Japanese Yen: Market needs more than BoJ pricing – OCBC
OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has already benefited from aggressive market pricing for Bank of Japan (BoJ) tightening, with an 85% chance of a September hike implied. They argue further JPY gains may require additional policy tools beyond rate increases, such as measures to encourage […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Silver: Consolidation near resistance as positioning builds – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong describes Silver as constructive with room for participation to build, as ETF holdings and managed-money positioning rise from light levels. Technical bias is mildly bullish, but momentum is fading near the 70.60–72 resistance band. A decisive break higher, likely requiring softer yields and a weaker Dollar, could open a move towards 80.30. Mildly bullish […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Core PCE and Warsh remarks in focus – OCBC
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that lower energy prices have helped pull US and European yields down, supporting a more benign macro backdrop without stoking USD debasement fears. Markets are watching US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index and Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole remarks, as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Debasement narrative caps upside – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the US Treasury’s expanded long-end buyback programme has revived market fears of Dollar debasement, driving a weaker USD, stronger Gold and higher breakevens. They stress this is not classic QE, but highlight rising US policy uncertainty, questions over Fed independence and Jackson Hole risks as key […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 weeks ago