OCBC
Institutional, OCBC
Taiwan Dollar: Foreign outflows pressure currency – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Taiwan Dollar (TWD) has extended losses on heavy foreign equity outflows, partly retracing into the Asian close amid talk of CBC leaning against depreciation. They stay somewhat cautious, suggesting any sustained TWD recovery will require improved underlying flows, with CBC smoothing only likely to contain […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 7 days ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: AI-driven vulnerabilities surface – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong discuss how AI-linked investment has become a key pillar of US growth, equities, yields and Dollar strength. They warn that US-centric AI financing concerns can flip these supports, creating a risk-off environment with lower US Treasury yields and a softer USD, highlighting the Dollar’s growing exposure to […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
OCBC
Indian Rupee: Recovery against US Dollar constrained by externals – OCBC
OCBC Bank’s Christopher Wong argues that recent RBI measures and the governor’s willingness to act further have curbed speculative activity and supported the Indian Rupee. However, stronger US Dollar, elevated Oil prices and external headwinds are seen limiting gains, with technicals pointing to moderating downside in USDINR and key support at 94.70 and 94.20 and […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Singapore Dollar: MAS tightening but gains constrained – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that Singapore Dollar (SGD) has held relatively steady despite a firmer US Dollar (USD) and higher Oil prices, with MAS tightening expectations underpinning the S$NEER. USD/SGD trades near recent highs with intact bullish momentum. With S$NEER already strong, further Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) slope steepening may not trigger significant SGD […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Euro: Fragmentation fears weigh on EUR – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that widening Eurozone bond spreads and fragmentation concerns are tightening financial conditions and putting renewed pressure on the Euro. EUR/USD has fallen to its weakest level since May 2025, and while the Dollar could extend gains if French-German spreads stay wide, the ECB’s anti-fragmentation tools are expected to limit systemic stress. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Volatility-driven support into year-end – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) has started Q4 2026 on a firm footing, supported by resilient United States (US) growth and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) risks. However, they expect only a moderate USD rally into year-end as markets scale back near-term Fed hike expectations and as […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Asian FX: Higher yields and Oil weigh – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that Asian FX traded broadly softer as higher Oil prices and rising US Treasury yields hurt risk sentiment, with Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) underperforming and Philippine Peso (PHP), Indian Rupee (INR) and Thai Baht (THB) also weaker. Renminbi (RMB) momentum faded as People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Post-FOMC gains face higher hurdle – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has held a firmer tone after the FOMC’s 25 bp hike and a higher rate path, supported by elevated US Treasury yields. However, he stresses that further USD upside now likely requires another leg higher in yields or stronger US data, with key resistance around […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, OCBC
Taiwan Dollar: Mildly hawkish CBC but flows drive – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong highlights that Taiwan’s CBC kept its policy rate at 2% for a tenth straight quarter with a mildly hawkish tone, sharply raising 2026 growth and inflation forecasts while flagging sticky services inflation. However, the bank stresses that near-term USD/TWD direction will be driven more by foreign equity flows, tech sentiment and […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, OCBC
South Korean Won: Foreign equity flows keep KRW heavy against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that the Korean Won remains under pressure as foreign selling of Korean equities persists and elevated US yields after the FOMC continue to weigh. Large-cap technology stocks are at the centre of outflows, though the broader KOSPI has held up. Wong highlights that easing US yields, a softer Dollar and […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago