ING’s Chris Turner projects EUR/USD to trade soft in a 1.10–1.15 range over the next four to five months as French budget politics keep a risk premium in the Euro ahead of April elections.
French risks cap Euro near term
“French budgetary politics look set to keep a risk premium in the euro ahead of April’s elections.”
“We therefore see EUR/USD trading offered in a 1.10-15 range over the next four to five months.”
“From the second quarter, however, softer US rates, moderating energy prices and clarity on French politics could trigger a gentle recovery in EUR/USD towards 1.18 by year-end 2027.”
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