BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that stronger Oil prices have improved Norway’s terms of trade, but EUR/NOK gains have pushed up the I-44 import price index. While Norges Bank can focus on domestic factors thanks to NOK’s year-to-date performance, Yu warns that high investor holdings and a weaker valuation case make short EUR/NOK trades unattractive, with […]
BNY’s Geoff Yu describes Hungary as a constructive story within EMEA, with post-election re-rating and scope for continued MNB easing. Yu notes corporate flows are strong, spreads still compensatory, and argues Hungarian Forint (HUF) can make a stronger case as a carry currency if inflation stays contained, even as power and energy constraints justify caution […]