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ING, Institutional
Polish Zloty: Exposed as NBP delays tightening – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights slightly higher final Polish inflation and unchanged core forecasts, with most Monetary Policy Committee members signalling that December is the earliest for rate-hike discussions. He argues delayed National Bank of Poland tightening, a firmer Dollar and record gas prices leave the Zloty vulnerable, and reiterates expectations for EUR/PLN to return to […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
Oil: Market focuses on Persian Gulf risks – ING
ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices remain supported as traders focus on Middle East and Persian Gulf supply risks rather than the Russia-Ukraine energy ceasefire. Brent has pushed back toward $107/bbl, while hurricane-related disruptions in the Gulf of Mexico and Saudi plans to expand pipeline capacity add further supply-side complexity […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
CEE FX: Inflation data versus global Dollar strength – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights a busy week for CEE with key inflation releases and IMF meetings, while regional FX remains driven mainly by global factors. ING keeps a broadly bearish stance on CEE currencies, expecting EUR/PLN to stay near 4.40 and the Forint exposed to higher energy prices and a stronger Dollar, while retaining a […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
Gold: Central banks keep buying – ING
ING’s commodities team, led by Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey, reports that Gold edged higher on Tuesday as lower Oil prices and stronger bond markets eased inflation concerns and reduced expectations of further rate hikes. They emphasize persistent central bank demand, with World Gold Council data showing continued net buying driven by long-term reserve diversification. […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional, Market Analysis
Euro: Downside risks with 1.1100 in sight against US Dollar – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING highlights that the Euro (EUR) is under pressure from French bond market turbulence, which is adding a fiscal risk premium and driving a repricing lower in European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations. Swap differentials now resemble levels historically consistent with weaker EUR/USD. ING sees limited confidence in a sustained rebound and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
Brent: Prices hold near $100 as Gulf risks persist – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that ICE Brent is still finding support around the $100/bbl level as geopolitical risks in the Persian Gulf outweigh an improving supply backdrop. They highlight recent attacks on Saudi infrastructure, adjustments in Kuwait and Saudi output and pricing, and lingering vulnerability in European natural gas storage ahead […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
Brazilian Real: Election surprise supports BRL against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Chris Turner says Brazilian assets are set to rally after Sunday’s presidential vote, where Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47% versus President Lula’s 45%. He expects markets to assume remaining votes lean Bolsonaro, sees currency and bonds benefiting from his fiscal austerity and deregulation agenda, and projects USD/BRL opening near 5.10, with a return to 4.90 […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
Oil: Diverging supply signals shape Brent – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that ICE Brent has repeatedly dipped below $100/bbl but continues to settle above this level as the market weighs conflicting supply and geopolitical factors. Higher oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz, G7 reserve releases, and recovering Saudi pipeline capacity contrast with persistent Middle East tensions and unchanged OPEC+ production plans. […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
British Pound: Potential EU re-engagement supports Sterling – ING
Chris Turner at ING discusses the British Pound as EUR/GBP moves noticeably lower, suggesting emerging Euro weakness and a changing UK narrative. He highlights UK Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s speech on moving closer to Europe, including a possible push to rejoin the EU after the next election. Turner notes markets would likely view EU re-entry […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago
ING, Institutional
EUR/USD: Lagarde’s dovish tilt weighs on Euro – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING says EUR/USD downside risks have increased after dovish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, which widened SOFR-ESTR spreads and tempered expectations for an October ECB hike. Lagarde comments pressure Euro outlook “The euro held up relatively well yesterday considering the slew of dovish-leaning comments by ECB President Lagarde, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago