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Societe Generale analysts highlight that Gold has broken out of a small base formation, reclaimed its 200โDMA and is enjoying an extended rebound. The move is framed within broader Dollar debasement concerns and rising term premium. The bank flags successive upside hurdles at $4,730/$4,770 and the April peak at $4,890, with the 200โDMA near $4,510 […]
TD Securitiesโ Robert Both expects the Bank of Canada to remain cautious even if a tariff agreement is reached. The Bank wants more data on how lower tariffs affect exports and output, with key trade figures not available until November. TD forecasts the BoC staying on hold through 2026 and delivering its first rate hike […]
OCBCโs Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong stress that the Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) remains relatively well supported by a softer US Dollar (USD) and robust domestic fundamentals. July exports surged and the trade surplus widened, underpinned by strong electronics and firmer palm Oil prices, though he cautions that elevated Oil and long-end US Treasury yields […]
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight a sharp improvement in sentiment towards Prime Minister Burnham and Labour. Their dbDIG household survey shows optimism about stronger United Kingdom (UK) economic growth under the new government, but households are notably more cautious about their own personal finances, with optimism skewed towards younger and higher-income respondents. Households optimistic on UK […]
Commerzbankโs Antje Praefcke reports that the Riksbank left its policy rate at 1.75% and maintained a restrictive stance, still seeing a hike later this year as likely. Riksbank is ready to tighten further if inflation proves more persistent, with decisions linked to Middle East conflict developments, though the latest move is seen as neutral for […]
MUFGโs Michael Wan notes that US longer-end yields have returned close to pre-buyback levels, with the 10-year at 4.7% and 30-year at 5.24%, weighing on risk assets. From an FX angle, the Dollar Indexโs (DXY) recovery is seen as largely driven by Japanese Yen (JPY) underperformance, with USD/JPY nearing 159 and EUR/JPY rising toward 185.71, […]
INGโs Chris Turner says EUR/USD remains well supported by broad Dollar softness. Expected mild eurozone growth in the August PMIs and elevated inflation expectations keep the case for another European Central Bank (ECB) hike alive. EUR/USD is seen consolidating in the 1.1670-1.1710 range before potentially edging higher, although high natural gas prices remain a risk. Euro supported […]

