Institutional
Institutional, TDS
US Dollar: Selective strength and year-end drift – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj and colleagues, argues that the US Dollar (USD) is losing its status as an effortless haven, with muted gains despite an AI-driven global equity selloff. They expect US vs Rest of the World (RoW) equity performance to remain the key driver. Muted haven appeal and modest downside […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
ING, Institutional
EUR/USD: Range-bound then recovering – ING
ING’s Chris Turner projects EUR/USD to trade soft in a 1.10–1.15 range over the next four to five months as French budget politics keep a risk premium in the Euro ahead of April elections. French risks cap Euro near term “French budgetary politics look set to keep a risk premium in the euro ahead of […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Institutional, Market Analysis, MUFG
US Dollar: Energy slide supports softer Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar has weakened, with the Dollar Index dropping below Friday’s high as Brent declines towards USD90. Lower Oil prices and falling US Treasury yields are easing pressure on the Fed, while markets await the October US CPI report. Futures still price a December Fed hike but fewer moves in […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
Brent: Crude slides on Iran diplomacy hopes – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank reports that Brent Oil fell to a two‑month low as headlines suggested progress toward a diplomatic resolution involving the US and Iran. Comments from US officials and Gulf allies reduced fears of renewed escalation. The bank notes that lower Oil prices eased stagflation concerns and supported a more positive growth and inflation outlook […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Institutional, Rabobank
US Dollar: Fed rhetoric and CPI expectations guide yields – Rabobank
Rabobank’s RaboResearch team notes recent comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials Barkin and Goolsbee align with a more hawkish FOMC tone, emphasizing persistent core CPI, especially in services, and justifying further rate hikes. The September dot plot signals one more hike and then a prolonged hold through 2027, as markets await October US CPI data […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Institutional, MUFG
Indian Rupee: Oil relief and equity inflows back Rupee – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that the Indian Rupee has been a key beneficiary of lower Oil prices and renewed foreign equity inflows, with USD/INR dropping to its lowest level since April. Improved terms of trade and reduced pressure on the import bill and margins are supportive, while India’s equity market is attracting sizeable foreign capital […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
US CPI: October print key for Fed path – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s US economists expect October US CPI to slow sharply from September’s strong reading, with both headline and core seen at 0.20% month-on-month. They note this is the last CPI release before the next Fed meeting and that markets will watch the implications for PCE inflation. A missing year-on-year figure due to last year’s […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 5 days ago
Institutional, UOB
Swiss Franc: 0.8110 remains in focus against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see USD/CHF consolidating after a sharp fall and rebound, with flat momentum indicators. For the next 24 hours, they expect the pair to hold between 0.8125 and 0.8185. On a 1–3 week horizon, there is still a chance of a dip toward 0.8110 […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Gold: Consolidation with cautious optimism – OCBC
Christopher Wong at OCBC sees Gold consolidating after reaching a two-week high above 4140. While rebounding oil prices and a steadier US Dollar limit gains, softer Treasury yields and Gold’s resilience amid the equity selloff suggest renewed safe-haven appeal. However, broader deleveraging remains a risk ahead of key US data. Wong remains cautiously optimistic, highlighting […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional, MUFG
US Dollar: Safe haven support as AI stocks slide – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the US Dollar has reversed its initial post-election losses despite a sharp sell-off in AI-related equities. While higher energy prices and record foreign demand for riskier US assets have supported the Dollar this year, a reversal in these trends could weigh on the currency. Tighter financial conditions could also reduce […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago