Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in wait-and-see mode after three rate hikes, assessing how inflation and the labor market evolve. July Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 3.5% but missed expectations, with trimmed-mean inflation stuck at 3.6%. He expects a hawkish tone at the September meeting but […]
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch reports that Gold has surged to a three‑month high near USD 4,700 per ounce as US–Canada tariff tensions escalate and concerns over US debt intensify. Silver and Platinum have also rallied. Strong ETF inflows, particularly in North America, suggest sustained investor interest, and the bank sees indications that Gold prices will continue to rise. […]
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reviews recent CEE FX performance, noting that the euro’s strength above 1.17 has supported high-beta PLN and HUF, while the Czech koruna has also gained despite its lower beta profile. He highlights the divergence in regional monetary policy, with the CNB expected to tighten further while the MNB remains in an easing […]