Institutional
ING, Institutional
South Korean Won: Trade surplus seen widening – ING
ING’s Asia-Pacific research notes that South Korea’s upcoming data should show stronger industrial production and a widening trade surplus, even as export and import growth moderates. Technology and semiconductor exports are expected to underpin the surplus. At the same time, headline CPI is forecast to ease slightly, with core inflation decelerating more sharply, pointing to […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Chinese Yuan: PBoC keeps yuan broadly stable – Societe Generale
Societe Generale describes a limited impact from President Xi’s US visit, with no new tariff cuts or AI dialogue mechanism agreed as the trade truce was only extended to January. USD/CNY rebounded after briefly dipping below 6.70, helped by higher US Treasury yields and a modest easing of PBoC control, while the central bank reiterated […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, UOB
Singapore Dollar: Consolidation near lows against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD held steady around 1.2800 after Wednesday’s surge, with the Singapore Dollar (SGD) supported by expectations of further MAS tightening. Their Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) model sits 1.76% above the mid-point, implying a USD/SGD range of 1.2764–1.2828 today, while renewed Dollar momentum […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Asian FX: Higher yields and Oil weigh – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong report that Asian FX traded broadly softer as higher Oil prices and rising US Treasury yields hurt risk sentiment, with Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) underperforming and Philippine Peso (PHP), Indian Rupee (INR) and Thai Baht (THB) also weaker. Renminbi (RMB) momentum faded as People’s Bank of China’s (PBoC) […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
The Week Ahead – Navigating a High-Volatility Week for Global Markets
Global markets enter the coming sessions with monetary policy, inflation, employment and geopolitical risk all competing for attention. The possibility of diplomatic agreements or further escalation involving the US, Iran and Gulf states remains a major driver of energy prices, inflation expectations and global bond yields. High energy prices combined with resilient economic activity have […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
Bond yields highest since 2007
US 10-year Treasury yields rose to 5.15% today, reaching their highest level since 2007. The primary catalyst driving the current surge was yesterday’s release of US PMI indicators for September. The data significantly exceeded expectations, reaching five-year highs. The composite index reached 58.4, which is consistent with GDP growth dynamics of around 5%. However, the […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
Navigating Man-Made Market Volatility
Financial markets remain caught between competing narratives, with investors struggling to establish a clear direction across commodities, bonds, currencies and equities. Brent crude has moved sharply between $106 and below $100 per barrel, while sovereign bond yields continue to experience unusually large swings. The central issue is uncertainty. Markets are trying to determine whether the […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Mexican Peso: Downward momentum returns after 200-DMA break – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts, including Kenneth Broux, note that USD/MXN has broken above a multi-month descending trend line and reclaimed its 200-day moving average for the first time since April 2025. They see scope for a broader uptrend if the pair holds above 17.40/17.35, with hurdles at the June peak near 17.68 and projections around 17.80. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Swiss Franc: SNB intervention bias dialed down – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that EUR/CHF has rebounded about 0.3% after the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left rates at 0.0% but softened its FX intervention language. The bank now signals it is only willing to be active as necessary, with inflation forecasts around 0.7–0.8% through 2028 and a widening rate differential versus the Eurozone expected […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 week ago
ING, Institutional
Euro: Downside risks start to shrink against US Dollar – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING argues EUR/USD’s break below 1.140 has pushed the pair into stretched undervaluation versus their short-term fair value model, as rate differentials moved in favour of the Euro. While the Dollar-driven move and lack of nearby technical support keep catching a falling knife risky, ING expects eventual convergence toward the 1.1430–1.1450 area […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago