Institutional
CommerzBank, Institutional
Indian Rupee: Inflation and trade reshape INR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists note India’s August CPI rose to 4.8% year-on-year, above the RBI midpoint but still below the central bank’s full-year forecast. They see a more finely balanced policy outlook, with a likely hawkish hold at 5.25%. A narrower trade deficit and strong capital inflows should support INR, even as higher Oil prices pressure inflation and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, UOB
Euro: Downside pressure toward 1.1490 against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann keep a cautious stance on EUR/USD after the pair closed almost unchanged near 1.1543. They note slowing downside momentum intraday but still see room for a move toward 1.1520, while the broader 1–3 week view points to potential losses toward 1.1490 unless resistance at 1.1585 is breached, suggesting sustained […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
The era of high interest rates will be back for good—and what does that mean for stocks
The interest rate market has undergone a quiet but dramatic transformation in recent weeks. Just a month ago, investors were pricing in a moderate normalisation of monetary policy; today, the implied yield curves for most major economies paint a very different picture: a series of significant rate rises spread over the coming quarters. This is […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, MUFG
Indian Rupee: RBI support tempers depreciation risks versus US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan assesses Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) June 2026 FX measures and their impact on the Indian Rupee and USD/INR. He notes a large build-up of FX reserves and liquidity, and argues these measures have reduced tail risks of sharp INR depreciation. However, MUFG still expects USD/INR to rise gradually into 2027, with INR […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
ING, Institutional
Oil: Saudi pipeline outage supports prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices have surged as the Saudi East–West pipeline shutdown tightens supply and keeps ICE Brent near recent resistance around $110/bbl. They highlight persistent uncertainty over damage and outage duration, with Saudi storage at Yanbu only offering temporary relief and risks that port stocks deplete before […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional
Japanese Yen: Higher Q4 range projected – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered’s Chong Hoon Park and Nicholas Chia expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver a 25bps rate hike in September but maintain a gradual normalisation path. They argue that USD/JPY is unlikely to fall on BoJ tightening alone and project the pair returning to the upper half of the 155-160 range in Q4, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, USD
Dollar Extends Gains as Markets Brace for First Fed Rate Hike Since 2023
The US dollar extends its winning streak to five sessions as traders prepare for a pivotal Federal Reserve decision, with rising oil prices adding fresh pressure to the inflation outlook. The US dollar continued to strengthen on Tuesday, with the Dollar Index moving above 99.5 and recording its fifth consecutive session of gains. The latest […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
Trade of the Day: USDIDX
Facts Recommendation Figure 1: USDIDX (09.10.2025 – 14.09.2026) Source: xStation5, 14.09.2026 (12:10) Opinion USDIDX has recently been supported by both rising expectations of Fed rate hikes and climbing energy commodity prices (alongside an accompanying shift away from risk among investors). Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting will decisively shape market conditions (and not only in FX). Given […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
Chart of the Day: AI to Slow Down? US100 Drops 1.7% as Investors Reassess the AI Trade
sustainability of the artificial intelligence boom. The new week has brought a sharp deterioration in sentiment across technology markets, with the US100 falling around 1.7% at the opening. The decline comes as investors increasingly question whether expectations surrounding artificial intelligence have moved too far ahead of reality. For years, AI has been one of the […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Energies, Institutional
Oil Above $100: The Market Is Starting to Price a Real Supply Shortfall
Brent crude has pushed above $108 a barrel as disruption across the Middle East increasingly threatens physical oil supplies. What began as a geopolitical risk premium is developing into a much more serious question: how many barrels can actually reach the market? Oil markets have entered a new phase. Brent crude has surged back above […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago