Institutional
CommerzBank, Institutional
US Dollar: August inflation key to September Fed decision – Commerzbank
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that markets now price nearly a 70% chance of a September Fed hike after Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish speech, but stresses upcoming US inflation data will be decisive. She downplays the jobs report as a linchpin and questions how long the Dollar can benefit from a potential rate hike amid renewed political […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, UOB
British Pound: Downside risk toward 1.3480 against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD broke below its anticipated intraday range, dropping to 1.3507 as downside momentum starts to build. Intraday, they expect a bearish bias with potential tests of 1.3500 and the major 1.3480 support, provided prices stay below 1.3545. Over one to three weeks, they keep a downside risk focus, […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Dankse Bank, Institutional
Euro: Pressured as ECB hike looms – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD slipped below 1.1600 as the US Dollar strengthened on a hawkish Federal Reserve stance and geopolitical tensions. The team highlights that Euro area inflation has moved back above 3%, reinforcing expectations for a September ECB rate hike. Manufacturing data show a rebound led by Germany, while unemployment remains historically […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, JPY
BoJ’s Takata says central bank need to consider a broad range of options on monetary policy response
Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member Hajime Takata said on Wednesday that the central bank needs a different response from conventional semi-annual rate hike pace. Key quotes 2026 marks a regime change, needs a different response as rate hikes are becoming a global trend on the back of economic growth, as well as AI-linked investment. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, NZD
Breman Speech: RBNZ Governor sheds light on policy outlook after interest rate hike
Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) Governor Anna Breman presents the prepared remarks on the Monetary Policy Review (MPR) and responds to media questions at the press conference after the September monetary policy announcement. Earlier on, Breman and her colleagues hiked the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.75%, as widely […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
Global bond market sell off
Key takeaways Global bond market sell off haunts markets Global sovereign bonds are selling off as we start a new month. The UK is, unsurprisingly, taking the biggest hit. Two and 10-year yields rose by 10 basis points at one point on Tuesday, and are currently higher by 7 and 8bps respectively. The UK’s debt […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
EUR, Institutional, Technical Analysis, USD
Eurozone Inflation Comes In Below Forecasts, Unemployment Rises. EUR/USD Reacts
The euro is recovering slightly after its recent losses despite unfavorable data from the euro area, where CPI inflation rose at a slower pace than expected and the unemployment rate increased to 6.4%, exceeding forecasts. EURUSD (M15 interval) Source: xStation5
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
EUR, Institutional, Technical Analysis
Currency Talk – GBP/AUD, EUR/GBP, GBP/CAD
This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analysed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis utilises solely the Overbalance methodology, which enables the identification of points where a trend may continue or where a reversal may occur. Today’s analysis covers three instruments, assessed solely in terms of their 1:1 […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
Chart of the Day – DE40 Falls for a Second Straight Session – Dismal German Retail Sales Data.
German retail sales disappointed sharply in July, falling 3.4% m/m versus expectations for a 0.4% increase. This was a significant downside surprise, pointing to weaker private consumption. Moreover, Destatis revised the June reading to 0.0% m/m from the previously reported 0.7% decline. The weak data are not encouraging for equities and the valuations of companies […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Polish Zloty: Fiscal risks cap gains against Euro – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes that the Polish Zloty strengthened while domestic bonds sold off as August inflation and second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeded expectations and the government presented its 2027 budget. The draft foresees a 7.1% of GDP deficit and a tax overhaul shifting burden toward corporates, raising concerns about ratings risks and borrowing costs despite recent […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 month ago