ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the Czech National Bank (CNB) kept its policy rate at 3.75% with a dovish tone versus market pricing, but ING economists now expect a hike in November due to higher inflation forecasts and elevated global energy prices. While EUR/CZK trades around 24.300–24.350, ING sees a stronger Dollar lifting the pair […]
The Fed rate hike: what happens now? The dust has settled on tonight’s Fed meeting and the market reaction is clear: the Fed’s signal that there could be a series of rate hikes has spooked financial markets. Bonds sold off at the short end of the Treasury curve and US stocks also fell, led by […]
Key statements by Ueda during the press conference following the BOJ’s decision to hike rates: Maintaining a hawkish stance and refusing to yield to dissent within the board were interpreted by the market as a clear signal that further rate hikes are inevitable. In response to the BOJ Governor’s remarks, the Japanese currency is trimming […]
What Are the World’s Leading Banks Saying About Currencies, Energy Markets, Central Banks and Geopolitical Risk? Foreign exchange markets can move in seconds. A central bank decision, inflation surprise, change in interest-rate expectations, energy-price shock or geopolitical development can rapidly alter the value of a currency and change the cost of an international transaction. For […]
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team reports a strong rebound in global equities, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Stoxx 600 and Kospi all posting solid gains despite a recent Fed hike and further tightening priced. The team argues that robust consensus earnings growth of 35% and rising estimates make a sustained equity sell-off difficult, advocating a […]
MUFG notes that Oil prices have declined as markets reassess supply risks tied to the US-Iran war and regional chokepoints. Saudi Arabia’s efforts to restore the East-West pipeline and continued tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, alongside diplomatic moves by the US, Gulf nations, China and Iran, have supported a rally in risk assets […]
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang maintains a bearish stance on EUR/USD after recent declines, expecting the pair to trade intraday between 1.1460 and 1.1500 as momentum eases. Over the coming weeks, the Euro (EUR) is seen potentially extending losses toward 1.1435 and 1.1400, with strong resistance at 1.1545 and EMAs signalling further downside. […]
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF has staged an overdone rally toward 0.8265 and now expect the pair to consolidate between 0.8225 and 0.8275 in the near term. Over the next 1–3 weeks, momentum remains strong but may not yet be sufficient to break above 0.8300, […]
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong reports that Gold reversed lower after the FOMC as a stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising United States (US) yields weighed on sentiment, with the 2-year near 4.75% and the 10-year around 5%. He argues elevated yields and a firm Dollar may cap Gold in the near term, but says the Fed outcome […]
Commerzbank’s India analysis shows the Reserve Bank of India stepping up liquidity absorption via INR1trn of government bond sales and continued VRRR operations, FX swaps and open-market actions. The measures aim to align money-market rates with the 5.25% policy rate. Despite higher short- and intermediate-term yields, USD/INR stayed near 95.96 as RBI intervened to curb volatility. Bond […]