Institutional
Institutional, MUFG
British Pound: Energy-driven inflation risks support GBP against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG highlights that rising European natural gas prices are reviving inflation risks, which could push the Bank of England toward another rate hike and underpin the Pound. While crude Oil remains contained, UK natural gas futures have surged, and the bank notes that this divergence in energy dynamics may support both the Euro and Pound against peers. […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional
Japanese Yen: Weak currency and cheap burgers – Nordea
Nordea’s Helge J. Pedersen argues that the Japanese Yen appears significantly undervalued versus the Dollar on both OECD purchasing power parity estimates and The Economist’s Big Mac Index. Despite Japan’s strong trade and current account surpluses suggesting room for Yen appreciation, persistently low Japanese interest rates versus the US continue to weigh on JPY and limit sustained […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional
Canadian Dollar: Trade war clouds Q2 GDP rebound – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes USD/CAD is trading just above its 200‑day moving average near 1.3840 as Canada’s Q2 GDP is expected to rebound strongly, with real GDP seen rising 3.4% SAAR versus a slight Q1 contraction. However, Haddad warns a worsening US–Canada trade war could cut the rebound short and sees current Bank of […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
CommerzBank, Institutional, Technical Analysis
“Anything else would likely put the Japanese Yen under significant pressure”: Commerzbank on why BoJ should hike rates
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is holding within a narrow trading range against the US Dollar (USD) at around 159.35, but pressures are rising following an acceleration in Tokyo inflation data. With Tokyo headline CPI reaching 1.9% in August and service sector price gains hitting nearly a one-year high, market odds for a Bank of Japan (BoJ) interest […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
Indian Rupee: GDP data to show resilience – DBS
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect India’s 1QFY27 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to confirm that the economy has weathered geopolitical disruptions better than initially feared. They note stronger consumption gauges, improving production, and ongoing support from services and exports, even as muted wealth effects, soft fuel demand and higher energy costs weigh […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, OCBC
Silver: Consolidation near resistance as positioning builds – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong describes Silver as constructive with room for participation to build, as ETF holdings and managed-money positioning rise from light levels. Technical bias is mildly bullish, but momentum is fading near the 70.60–72 resistance band. A decisive break higher, likely requiring softer yields and a weaker Dollar, could open a move towards 80.30. Mildly bullish […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
US Dollar: Warsh speech risks asymmetric USD reaction – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar has stabilized after last week’s setback, with Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech seen as the next key test. Baur expects little in terms of forward guidance on a September rate hike but highlights potential discussion of changing the Fed’s inflation measure away from the PCE deflator, which could […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
Euro: Focus on Fed signals and Jackson Hole – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that EUR/USD traded at 1.165 as markets await Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, which could shift expectations for the September Fed meeting. They highlight that market pricing still assigns a 35% probability to a hike, and recent Fed commentary shows a divide on how restrictive policy should be. Jackson Hole and divided […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, UOB
Japanese Yen: Range trading remains intact against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY held in a narrow band around 159.35, with a slight uptick in upward momentum. They expect this to translate into trading between 159.15 and 159.65 rather than a sustained advance. Over the coming weeks, they maintain a neutral stance, looking for range-bound […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, TDS
New Zealand Dollar: Bearish stance maintained on rate hike pricing – TD Securities
TD Securities’ FX strategist Howard Du maintains a bearish New Zealand Dollar (NZD) bias, noting that Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) tightening is largely priced and NZD positioning has normalized. They expect AUD/NZD to remain supported above 1.20 with a 1.22 year-end forecast, and see a high bar for NZD/USD to sustain gains above […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago