Institutional
Currency Talk, Institutional
Three markets to watch next week
Last week was dominated by uncertainty surrounding the situation in the Middle East, tensions involving Russia and, of course, Nvidia’s outstanding earnings and expectations ahead of Kevin Warsh’s speech at Jackson Hole. That is now in the past, however, and the coming days are likely to bring another dose of volatility given several key macroeconomic […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
BNY, Institutional
Natural Gas: Hormuz risks and Qatari LNG disruption – BNY
Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that Middle East tensions and constrained traffic through the Strait of Hormuz are keeping key energy supply routes at risk. Qatar’s extended force majeure on LNG exports threatens European winter gas balances and could re-ignite inflation pressures, while Brent, WTI and Dutch TTF prices reflect a fragile equilibrium in Oil […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
ING, Institutional
South Korean Won: Higher rates and chip boom support gains – ING
ING’s Chris Turner reports that the Korean Won (KRW) continues to advance, driven by back-to-back Bank of Korea (BoK) rate hikes to 3.00% and a Dot Plot pointing to 3.25% in six months. Upgraded Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecasts linked to a chip export boom underpin the currency, though authorities may worry about KRW/JPY highs […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
Philippine Peso: BSP tightening bias on inflation risks – DBS
DBS Group Research economists Radhika Rao and Chua Han Teng note that Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) raised its policy rate by 25 bps to 5.0% to anchor inflation expectations and support the Peso. Philippine Peso (PHP) is the only ASEAN-6 currency weaker in 3Q26 versus the Dollar, and DBS flags above-target inflation as leaving […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
Malaysian Ringgit: BNM seen on steady policy path – DBS
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to keep its Overnight Policy Rate unchanged at 2.75% on September 3, maintaining the stance adopted after its July 2025 insurance cut. They highlight contained Malaysian inflation and robust 2026 growth near 5%, arguing there is little urgency for rate hikes despite […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Chinese Yuan: Undervaluation and export gains questioned – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur challenges recent internal analysis on CNY undervaluation and exports, arguing that China’s exchange-rate management and gold purchases point to deliberate weakening. He highlights China’s outsized export and trade-surplus gains since 2019 and notes that a roughly 20% real exchange-rate advantage is unlikely to be neutral for global trade flows. Exchange-rate policy and export dominance […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
DBS, Institutional
South Korean Won: Strong exports support KRW and KOSPI – DBS
DBS Group strategists Taimur Baig and Nathan Chow expect South Korea’s August exports to stay strong near 60% year-on-year, underpinning the outlook for the KOSPI and Korean Won (KRW) even as growth moderates from June’s peak. They also see headline and core CPI around 3%, reinforcing its view that further Bank of Korea (BoK) rate hikes are […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional, Market Analysis
Week Ahead – Aug 31st
Global markets are underpinned by long-term interest rates, which remained elevated at the turn of September amid high energy prices, ample AI-related corporate debt issuance, and wide budget deficits against signs of resilient economic growth. Economic data from the US will be centered on the labor market as FOMC members note the US is at […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
Institutional
European Central Bank: September hike seen with energy risks – Nomura
Nomura’s Euro area team expects the European Central Bank to raise rates by 25 basis points to 2.50% at the 10 September meeting, citing higher HICP inflation and resilient growth. They highlight hawkish comments from ECB officials and note that Brent and Dutch TTF price dynamics could shape additional tightening risks into December 2026. Hawkish officials and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago
BNY, Institutional
British Pound: Month-end rebalancing and UK policy mix – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that month-end rebalancing flows leave the British Pound (GBP) vulnerable, with GBP seen as particularly exposed after strong performance and stretched GBP/USD levels. United Kingdom (UK) assets react to Chancellor Healey’s emphasis on fiscal discipline under the Labour government, while business confidence improves and pricing intentions ease, shaping expectations for the Pound and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 months ago