Institutional
Institutional, MUFG
Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations shape FX – MUFG
Michael Wan at MUFG notes continued dispersion in Asia FX, with USD/JPY trading just below 160. NHK reports US officials urging Japan to raise interest rates, while markets already price a 92% chance of a September Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike. Communication on the full path of rate increases is seen as key for Japanese […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 months ago
Institutional, OCBC
Brent Oil: Geopolitics delay supply recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong raise their end-2026 Brent forecast to USD 80/bbl from USD 75/bbl as Middle East supply disruptions prove more prolonged. They note falling inventories, rising transport costs and emerging diesel shortages as key constraints. Brent has traded above USD 90/bbl on escalating US–Iran tensions and persistent risks around […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 months ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
Equities: Geopolitics and yields pressure stocks – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid notes that global equities ended August on a softer footing as escalating US-Iran tensions and a hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Warsh weighed on risk sentiment. The S&P 500 and Stoxx 600 declined on Monday, while tech stocks proved relatively resilient as semiconductor shares stabilized. The cautious tone carried into Asian […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 months ago
Institutional, UOB
British Pound: Downside risk focuses on 1.3480 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD remains in a short-term range after last week’s sharp drop, with intraday trade expected between 1.3535 and 1.3570. Despite deeply oversold conditions limiting sustained declines, they still see downside risk toward 1.3480 over the next 1–3 weeks, as long as the British […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago
Dankse Bank, Institutional
Euro: Modest rebound against US Dollar as yields rise – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD has modestly rebounded above 1.16 following recent Dollar strength after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. They also highlight contained underlying inflation pressures across major euro-area economies, while markets await the region’s flash inflation, unemployment and final manufacturing PMI data. Pair recovers above 1.16 level “In the euro area, we […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
September risks rise: rate hikes, oil prices and bond yields, plus, the end of an era for Apple
Key takeaways Stocks are pointing to a lower open in Europe later today, as the oil price continues to climb, and bond yields also jump. The Brent crude oil price is back above $91 per barrel, as tensions between Iran and the US heat up. A tanker was hit in the Strait of Hormuz, which […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 3 months ago
Institutional
Oil Fuels Market Uncertainty. Wall Street and Gold Under Pressure
Rising geopolitical tensions have weighed on market sentiment. Equities, government bonds and precious metals are declining, while oil prices are moving higher, increasing concerns about renewed inflationary pressures and a more hawkish Federal Reserve. The S&P 500 has erased its August gains, while U.S. index futures are down around 0.1%–0.2% today. GOLD chart (D1 interval) […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
The Week Ahead
Key takeaways The week ahead: Payrolls in focus as Fed rate hike As we start a new week, the market is digesting the fallout from Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. Traders are also faced with a resumption of air strikes between the US and rising oil prices, and renewed expectations of a Federal Reserve rate […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago
Institutional, JPY
Japan’s Katayama: Confirmed with Bessent that continued, coordinated action on FX is needed
Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said Tuesday that he confirmed with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent that continued, coordinated action on FX is needed. Additional quotes Shared understanding with Bessent on the significance of joint FX intervention. Can’t comment on FX rates when asked if current Yen rates are in order. Hard to say […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago
Energies, Institutional, Technical Analysis
Chart of the Day: Middle East escalation boosts oil prices
Crude oil has once again become a hostage of geopolitics. Attacks in the Persian Gulf region and increasing restrictions on transit in the Strait of Hormuz have pushed demand fundamentals into the background. Although backwardation at the short end of the oil market curve is not as strong as it was 5 months ago, this […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 3 months ago