Bank of Japan board member Kazuyuki Masu said the central bank will continue raising its policy rate and adjust monetary accommodation as underlying inflation nears 2%. Speaking in Fukui on Thursday, he noted the pace of hikes will hinge on progress toward the July baseline scenario and risks from crude oil, AI-driven demand and FX […]
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen (JPY) has strengthened, driving USD/JPY back towards 153.00, as comments from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reinforce expectations of policy changes in Japan. The bank highlights growing market conviction that the Bank of Japan will accelerate rate hikes this month, helping the Yen rebound without further joint […]
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and colleagues expect the NBP to keep rates unchanged at 3.75%, with Governor Glapiński emphasising flexibility and data dependence. Given worsening inflation and the removal of a near‑term cut, they see policy as supportive for the Zloty and expect EUR/PLN to remain biased towards the 4.30 area over the coming quarters. NBP stance […]
ING’s commodities team notes Copper has surged to fresh records on the LME, with three‑month futures nearing $14,800/t, as traders position for potential US tariffs on refined Copper imports. They argue policy expectations have tightened availability outside the US and squeezed shorts, warning that prices could correct sharply if proposed tariffs are delayed, softened or […]
Aluminum futures in the UK were at $3,330 per tonne, their highest level in four weeks, supported by persistent supply tightness and shrinking inventories. The ongoing US-Iran conflict has crimped aluminum flows from the Middle East, with GCC output falling 44% year-on-year in July. LME inventories remained near a 36-year low, while SHFE inventories fell […]
Facts: Recommendation: COFFEE (D1) Source: xStation5 OPINION: After the breakout from a double top pattern, the price is highly likely to be entering a new market regime, with the current target direction defined by a parallel descending channel. The downward move is strongly supported by the so-called “Death Cross” (EMA100 and EMA200). Based on the […]
Wednesday’s macroeconomic calendar is relatively light and does not include any releases that are likely to independently set the direction for global markets. We already received the latest data from China overnight, where CPI inflation accelerated to 0.8% YoY in August, while PPI rose by 3.8% YoY . Later in the day, attention may turn […]
Nomura strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise rates this week, taking the depo rate to 2.50%, and to keep it there for the foreseeable future. They see another hike after a 2025 cut back to neutral to counter Iran war-related inflation risks, and do not foresee ECB rate cuts in coming years. ECB seen […]
Crude prices maintain their bullish tone on Wednesday, as the situation in the Middle East risks escalating into an all-out regional war. The US Benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has retraced previous losses to hit fresh three-month highs at $92.70, with the early-June highs of $94.87 in sight. The war in Iran escalated to a […]
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects Poland’s NBP to leave rates unchanged at 3.75% and sees the key question as whether the MPC formally drops earlier dovish language. With fuel-driven inflation pressures and a weaker Zloty, he argues that Glapinski’s prior hints at imminent cuts are obsolete and that rate reductions are unlikely before year-end, which could modestly support […]