European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said during the European trading session on Friday that the decision on interest rates by the central bank will be meeting by meeting. Like other ECB officials, Lagarde also said that she doesn’t see any signs of second-round inflation effects yet. Remarks Growth is a bit more promising than we thought. We’ll […]
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/CHF remains in a consolidation phase after a sharp rally, with intraday trading expected between 0.8225 and 0.8265. He stays positive over the 1–3 week horizon but says it is still too early to confirm a break above 0.8300, while a move below 0.8185 would negate this […]
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the Czech National Bank (CNB) kept its policy rate at 3.75% with a dovish tone versus market pricing, but ING economists now expect a hike in November due to higher inflation forecasts and elevated global energy prices. While EUR/CZK trades around 24.300–24.350, ING sees a stronger Dollar lifting the pair […]
The Fed rate hike: what happens now? The dust has settled on tonight’s Fed meeting and the market reaction is clear: the Fed’s signal that there could be a series of rate hikes has spooked financial markets. Bonds sold off at the short end of the Treasury curve and US stocks also fell, led by […]
Key statements by Ueda during the press conference following the BOJ’s decision to hike rates: Maintaining a hawkish stance and refusing to yield to dissent within the board were interpreted by the market as a clear signal that further rate hikes are inevitable. In response to the BOJ Governor’s remarks, the Japanese currency is trimming […]
What Are the World’s Leading Banks Saying About Currencies, Energy Markets, Central Banks and Geopolitical Risk? Foreign exchange markets can move in seconds. A central bank decision, inflation surprise, change in interest-rate expectations, energy-price shock or geopolitical development can rapidly alter the value of a currency and change the cost of an international transaction. For […]
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team reports a strong rebound in global equities, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Stoxx 600 and Kospi all posting solid gains despite a recent Fed hike and further tightening priced. The team argues that robust consensus earnings growth of 35% and rising estimates make a sustained equity sell-off difficult, advocating a […]
MUFG notes that Oil prices have declined as markets reassess supply risks tied to the US-Iran war and regional chokepoints. Saudi Arabia’s efforts to restore the East-West pipeline and continued tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, alongside diplomatic moves by the US, Gulf nations, China and Iran, have supported a rally in risk assets […]
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang maintains a bearish stance on EUR/USD after recent declines, expecting the pair to trade intraday between 1.1460 and 1.1500 as momentum eases. Over the coming weeks, the Euro (EUR) is seen potentially extending losses toward 1.1435 and 1.1400, with strong resistance at 1.1545 and EMAs signalling further downside. […]
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF has staged an overdone rally toward 0.8265 and now expect the pair to consolidate between 0.8225 and 0.8275 in the near term. Over the next 1–3 weeks, momentum remains strong but may not yet be sufficient to break above 0.8300, […]