Facts: Recommendation: Trade: Short position on GOLD at market price Target: 4316, 4288 Stop: 4450 Opinion: The gold market has been trading in a downward move recently. Looking at the technical situation, one can see that the precious metal bounced off the key resistance at $4426. This resistance is a result of previous price reactions, […]
The Euro (EUR) trades in a tight range at around 1.1640 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The major currency pair consolidates as investors await the European Central Bank’s (ECB) monetary policy decision, which will be announced at 12:15 GMT. In the policy meeting, the ECB is widely anticipated to […]
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) to keep its policy rate at 37% for now, after normalising liquidity and lowering the effective funding rate. Weaker 2Q Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and gradual disinflation should allow two 100bp cuts to 35% in Q4, with markets already pricing a dovish path into […]
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann keep a range-trading view on USD/CHF around 0.8100, after the pair held between 0.8065 and 0.8109 and closed near 0.8099. They now expect a slightly narrower 0.8060–0.8135 band to contain moves in the coming weeks. On a 1–3 month horizon, they see scope for further rebound but […]
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that markets fully price today’s ECB rate hike and see around 85 basis points of additional tightening by mid-2027, heavily driven by Oil dynamics. He argues this leaves little room for the ECB to meet expectations, making a clearly hawkish surprise necessary for Euro strength, while any disappointment could weigh on […]
Deutsche Bank reports that rising Oil and natural gas prices are pushing European yields to multi‑year highs and prompting markets to price a more hawkish European Central Bank path. The bank’s European economists expect small upward revisions to GDP for 2026‑2027 and higher headline inflation for 2027‑2028, while the ECB is likely to maintain a […]
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Japanese Yen (JPY) strength is reshaping APAC (Asia-Pacific) FX dynamics by easing prior effective exchange rate pressures and allowing more nominal appreciation in regional currencies. The report stays structurally constructive on JPY as long as current-account support holds, but cautions that a renewed Oil shock would reverse gains and force […]
The European Central Bank is expected to raise its key interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, marking the second hike since the US-Iran war began, while signaling caution over further increases that could weigh on economic activity. The main refinancing rate is expected to rise to 2.65%, and the deposit rate to 2.5%. […]
US producer prices are expected to rise 0.4% month-over-month in August 2026, marking the strongest increase in three months after remaining unchanged in July, signalling a renewed acceleration in producer-level inflation. Core producer prices, which exclude the more volatile food and energy components, are forecast to rise 0.3% mom, accelerating from the 0.2% increase recorded […]
The yen has recently been one of the strongest currencies in the world, and this market has a new player who openly says he is playing with “loaded” cards. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, during a speech at a Texas university, challenged traders by saying “I am the house now”. This means that such a […]