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Institutional
EUR, Institutional, Technical Analysis, USD
Eurozone Inflation Comes In Below Forecasts, Unemployment Rises. EUR/USD Reacts
The euro is recovering slightly after its recent losses despite unfavorable data from the euro area, where CPI inflation rose at a slower pace than expected and the unemployment rate increased to 6.4%, exceeding forecasts. EURUSD (M15 interval) Source: xStation5
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
EUR, Institutional, Technical Analysis
Currency Talk – GBP/AUD, EUR/GBP, GBP/CAD
This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analysed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis utilises solely the Overbalance methodology, which enables the identification of points where a trend may continue or where a reversal may occur. Today’s analysis covers three instruments, assessed solely in terms of their 1:1 […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
Chart of the Day – DE40 Falls for a Second Straight Session – Dismal German Retail Sales Data.
German retail sales disappointed sharply in July, falling 3.4% m/m versus expectations for a 0.4% increase. This was a significant downside surprise, pointing to weaker private consumption. Moreover, Destatis revised the June reading to 0.0% m/m from the previously reported 0.7% decline. The weak data are not encouraging for equities and the valuations of companies […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Polish Zloty: Fiscal risks cap gains against Euro – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes that the Polish Zloty strengthened while domestic bonds sold off as August inflation and second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeded expectations and the government presented its 2027 budget. The draft foresees a 7.1% of GDP deficit and a tax overhaul shifting burden toward corporates, raising concerns about ratings risks and borrowing costs despite recent […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
CEE FX: Hawkish repricing supports regional currencies – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky reports that Polish inflation surprised to 3.4% on higher fuel prices, while food prices fell, and a busy data calendar looms for Central and Eastern Europe. He notes regional markets have shifted back into hawkish mode after recent Federal Reserve comments and geopolitical tensions, with Czech and Polish curves pricing multiple hikes, which should limit […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional
Indian Rupee: RBI tightening path seen shallow – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered strategists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand expect the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to deliver a total of 50bps of repo rate hikes in FY27, split between October and December 2026, citing resilient activity and hawkish August Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) minutes. They highlight upside risks if inflation surprises higher, but still see […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Euro: Proactive ECB seen as supportive – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes that several central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB), have already raised rates following the inflation shock linked to the Iran conflict. He stresses that markets reward central banks that react proactively rather than label shocks as transitory. For the Euro, he views the ECB’s more forceful stance as a positive […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, Market Analysis
Dismal German Retail Sales Data. Is the Economy Losing Momentum?
German retail sales disappointed sharply in July, falling 3.4% m/m versus expectations for a 0.4% increase. This was a significant downside surprise, pointing to weaker private consumption. Moreover, Destatis revised the June reading to 0.0% m/m from the previously reported 0.7% decline. The weak data are not encouraging for equities and the valuations of companies […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, MUFG
Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations shape FX – MUFG
Michael Wan at MUFG notes continued dispersion in Asia FX, with USD/JPY trading just below 160. NHK reports US officials urging Japan to raise interest rates, while markets already price a 92% chance of a September Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike. Communication on the full path of rate increases is seen as key for Japanese […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Brent Oil: Geopolitics delay supply recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong raise their end-2026 Brent forecast to USD 80/bbl from USD 75/bbl as Middle East supply disruptions prove more prolonged. They note falling inventories, rising transport costs and emerging diesel shortages as key constraints. Brent has traded above USD 90/bbl on escalating US–Iran tensions and persistent risks around […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago