Institutional
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Post-FOMC gains face higher hurdle – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) has held a firmer tone after the FOMC’s 25 bp hike and a higher rate path, supported by elevated US Treasury yields. However, he stresses that further USD upside now likely requires another leg higher in yields or stronger US data, with key resistance around […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
Euro: Downside risks persist despite ECB hike call – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole explains that despite political noise in Germany and an additional ECB hike now expected in December, ING keeps its EUR/USD profile unchanged with a 1.160 year-end target. He sees similar front-end pricing for EUR and USD, expects dovish repricing on lower energy prices, but highlights mostly downside risks for EUR/USD this week, especially if […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, Rabobank
Eurozone: Energy shock reshapes outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank strategists Bas van Geffen and Elwin de Groot highlight that sharply higher Oil and natural gas forecasts will lift headline Eurozone inflation by about 0.5 percentage points in 2026 and 2027. They now see inflation peaking around 4.4% year-on-year in early 2027, with core inflation only modestly higher, and expect sluggish disinflation to keep the ECB deposit rate […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional
British Pound: Limited upside after hawkish BoE hold – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight that the British Pound (GBP) is only marginally firmer versus the US Dollar (USD) despite stronger-than-expected August retail sales. They argue Thursday’s hawkish Bank of England (BoE) hold may cap near-term gains, even as UK politics remain supportive with continued confidence in the government’s fiscal responsibility. Technically, the broader […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Taiwan Dollar: Mildly hawkish CBC but flows drive – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong highlights that Taiwan’s CBC kept its policy rate at 2% for a tenth straight quarter with a mildly hawkish tone, sharply raising 2026 growth and inflation forecasts while flagging sticky services inflation. However, the bank stresses that near-term USD/TWD direction will be driven more by foreign equity flows, tech sentiment and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Taiwan Dollar: CBC holds rates but flags inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Henry Hao report that Taiwan’s CBC kept its policy rate at 2.0% for a tenth straight meeting, signalling a patient stance. The bank slightly raised its 2026 inflation and GDP forecasts, sees strong growth from AI-related semiconductor demand, and suggests policy could stay unchanged in December but start hiking in Q1 […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
South Korean Won: Foreign equity flows keep KRW heavy against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong notes that the Korean Won remains under pressure as foreign selling of Korean equities persists and elevated US yields after the FOMC continue to weigh. Large-cap technology stocks are at the centre of outflows, though the broader KOSPI has held up. Wong highlights that easing US yields, a softer Dollar and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
Institutional
Japanese Yen: Dovish BoJ hike weighs on yen – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Japanese Yen (JPY) is down sharply versus the US Dollar (USD) after a dovishly delivered 25 bps Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike and Governor Ueda’s cautious guidance. Markets are disappointed by the pushback against consecutive hikes, undermining efforts to rebuild confidence in the Yen. For USD/JPY, […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 2 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Singapore Dollar: Strong NODX but USD still drives USD/SGD – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong highlights that Singapore’s August NODX surged 46.2% year-on-year, far above consensus, with electronics exports jumping on AI-related demand and broad-based strength across markets. OCBC Economists upgraded their 2026 NODX forecast to 20% year-on-year, but Wong notes this solid external backdrop is unlikely to drive spot near term. USD/SGD has eased with lower […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
Chinese Yuan: Pre-summit support and firmer bias – DBS
Chang Wei Liang at DBS Group Research highlights that USD/CNH is easing toward 6.70 despite a stronger Dollar, with the Renminbi (RMB) supported by a lower USD/CNY fixing below 6.76. He links this to possible goodwill from China ahead of the Trump–Xi summit and expects RMB to strengthen further into next Thursday’s meeting as markets […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 2 weeks ago