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The yen continues its appreciation, which began on September 2. On a weekly basis, the Japanese currency has strengthened against the US dollar by over 3%. Figure 1: G10 Currency Performance (31.08.2026 – 07.09.2026) Source: XTB Research, 07.09.2026 Shift in Fundamentals? There are many indications that the move was not the result of direct market […]
USDJPY pair sets lowest levels since February, breaking through previous intervention levels from August The USDJPY pair recorded another dynamic drop today of over 1%, breaking through previous post-intervention lows (155.23) and the psychological barrier of 155.00, reaching the 154 level. The yen is at its strongest against the US dollar since February, even despite […]
The British Pound (GBP) is marginally higher at around 1.3525 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday. The GBP/USD pair ticks up as the US Dollar struggles to attract bids despite the United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) posting strong Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) figures for August. At press time, the […]
Brown Brothers Harrimanโs (BBH) Elias Haddad argues that United Kingdom (UK) July Gross Domestic Product (GDP), expected flat month-on-month, is unlikely to alter Bank of England (BoE) expectations. The swaps curve implies 75 bps of tightening to 4.50%, which Haddad deems too aggressive, warning this leaves British Pound (GBP) exposed to a dovish BoE repricing given the […]
MUFGโs Lloyd Chan notes the Dollar strengthened after a stronger-than-expected August US jobs report, with Nonfarm Payrolls and labour participation surprising to the upside while wage growth eased. Markets now price a significant chance of further Federal Reserve tightening by December, but DXY remains little changed since Fed Chair Warshโs Jackson Hole speech, suggesting investors are not […]
According to UOB strategists Oil prices extended gains, with Brent crude settling above $96 and posting a strong weekly rise as disruptions to Middle East supply routes and renewed geopolitical tensions supported energy markets. Brent and WTI futures advanced further, with weekly gains approaching 8% and 10% respectively, while markets watch developments in the Strait […]
DBS strategist Philip Wee argues that downside risk in EUR/JPY is less straightforward than in CHF/JPY. He notes that Euro (EUR) strength versus the Swiss Franc (CHF) and British Pound (GBP), and an anti-USD trade, support the Euro as markets price in rate hikes from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, he warns […]
This week will be dominated primarily by Friday’s release of US inflation data for August. For many FOMC policymakers, these figures could ultimately tip the balance towards either a pause or an interest rate hike at next week’s meeting. CPI Inflation (Friday, 11.09) In this context, it is worth recalling the words of Christopher Waller, […]
Key takeaways The Week Ahead: US CPI to determine whether the Fed pulls the trigger this month Markets are quiet at the start of a new week. The euro is mostly stable, even though the AfD, a far right party in Germany, won the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday. This is the first time […]
Danske Research notes that a strong US labour market report increased expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, pressuring global equities. The S&P 500 declined while the Stoxx 600 posted a small gain, with cyclicals outperforming and rate-sensitive sectors underperforming. The team highlights that, despite Fridayโs weakness, it was broadly a cyclical week, with Financials, […]
