Institutional
ING, Institutional
EUR/USD: Lagarde’s dovish tilt weighs on Euro – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING says EUR/USD downside risks have increased after dovish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde, which widened SOFR-ESTR spreads and tempered expectations for an October ECB hike. Lagarde comments pressure Euro outlook “The euro held up relatively well yesterday considering the slew of dovish-leaning comments by ECB President Lagarde, […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
AUD/USD: RBA hike fails to lift Aussie – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG highlights that the Australian Dollar has slipped back below 0.7000 against the US Dollar, testing the 200-day moving average near 0.7030. Despite the RBA’s fourth rate hike this year to 4.60% and its commitment to tackle persistent inflation, Governor Bullock’s cautious remarks on whether policy is restrictive enough have tempered expectations […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
S&P 500: Higher yields pressure equities – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that rising US yields and Oil prices are weighing on equities. The S&P 500 fell nearly 0.8%, led by larger declines in the Magnificent 7, while defensive sectors such as consumer staples and healthcare posted modest gains. Risk assets react to rate repricing “Moreover, yesterday started to see growing […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
US Dollar: Stock-driven flows raise vulnerability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur highlights that the US current account deficit remains large at about 3% of GDP and increasingly relies on foreign inflows into US stocks rather than bonds. He stresses that equity flows are far more volatile, tying support for the US Dollar more closely to US stock market performance, household wealth, and private […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
Australian Dollar: RBA hike reinforces hawkish stance – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s macro strategy team notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.60%, in line with expectations. The RBA signalled that inflation remains too high and left the door open to further tightening if needed. Australia’s 10-year government bond yield is now at a post-2011 high […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Australian Dollar: RBA’s hawkish hike caps upside – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia raised its cash rate by 25 bps to 4.6%, the highest level in about 15 years, and struck a notably hawkish tone. Despite signaling that rates could rise further as inflation broadens beyond energy, the Australian Dollar’s initial gains faded, with markets already pricing nearly […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, MUFG
Indonesian Rupiah: Rate support erodes as outflows resume – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan warns that the Indonesian Rupiah remains exposed as US yield increases erode Indonesia’s rate support. Bank Indonesia has shifted focus from further rate hikes to non-rate stabilisation tools, such as cheaper FX hedging, but renewed foreign portfolio outflows and prospects of weaker trade balances suggest underlying Rupiah pressure persists in the near […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
HSBC, Institutional
Euro: Rate uncertainty and energy costs weigh – HSBC
HSBC sees the Euro facing mounting headwinds from both monetary policy and energy markets. The bank notes vulnerability stemming from uncertainty over the European Central Bank’s willingness to raise rates versus a more hawkish Federal Reserve, while Europe’s greater exposure to elevated energy costs and disappointing September data pose challenges for EUR/USD performance and regional […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
MUFG
USD/JPY: Weekly review highlights Dollar strength – MUFG
MUFG’s Teppei Ino reviews USD/JPY price action over Japan’s extended holiday week. The pair opened near 157 and traded in a broad 156–159 range as Dollar strength persisted and expectations of a possible earlier Federal Reserve rate hike supported gains. However, caution over potential Japanese intervention and comments from Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama saw USD/JPY […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
India rates: Spreads seen narrowing further – DBS
DBS Group Research strategist Sherilyn Chew contrasts India’s domestic backdrop with Indonesia, arguing India is deeper into a tightening phase. Markets are pricing a possible Reserve Bank of India (RBI) hike in October, with liquidity surplus falling after RBI draining measures. She notes wider 5-year IGB-OIS spreads post-FCNR(B) closure and compressed 2s10s, seeing scope for […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago