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Institutional
ING, Institutional
CEE FX: Hawkish pricing versus dovish banks – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights a busy CEE data and policy calendar, with Hungary’s inflation seen edging up, the National Bank of Poland and Central Bank of Turkey expected on hold, and Romania’s inflation falling sharply on base effects. He argues markets overprice tightening in Czech Republic and Poland, seeing scope for narrower rate differentials and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
US Dollar: Volatility risks around Fed decision – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the latest US labour market report does not materially alter expectations for a September Fed rate move, leaving August US inflation as the key driver. Market pricing of roughly a 60% probability for a hike suggests divided positioning, with potential for significant USD volatility around the Fed meeting depending on how […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
ING, Institutional
Oil: Tanker risks support prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil remains supported as tensions between the US and Iran escalate in the Persian Gulf. They highlight continued flows through the Strait of Hormuz, aided by US Navy escorts, and unchanged OPEC+ quotas. Speculative net longs in ICE Brent have risen, while disruptions mean many producers […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Dankse Bank, Institutional
Euro: Range holds before key data against US Dollar – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports EUR/USD trading in a narrow 1.1610–1.1620 range after quickly reversing losses from a stronger US jobs report. They highlight a thin data calendar with United States (US) markets closed, and note that attention will shift to the upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, where a rate hike is widely expected, and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional, JPY
Japan Forex Reserves Post Record Drop
Japan’s foreign reserves fell by a record USD 79.6 billion, or 6.18%, to USD 1.208 trillion at the end of August 2026 from USD 1.287 trillion a month earlier, marking their lowest level since October 2022. The sharp drop came after Tokyo launched its largest-ever yen-buying intervention, spending ¥15.4 trillion ($98.7 billion) between July 30 […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional
Three Markets to Watch Next Week
The past week brought a major surprise to the markets in the form of the US labour market report (NFP). An increase in employment of 162,000 jobs (against a forecast of just 55,000) drastically altered expectations regarding the outlook for interest rates in the US. This turn of events strengthened the dollar and put immediate […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional
Daily Summary: “Heat” of the NFP Print Cools Market Sentiment
• NFP report as the main driver of market volatility. The U.S. economy created 162,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August, tripling the market consensus of approximately 55,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, while average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month over month. The surprisingly strong data pushed the probability of a Fed rate hike […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Malaysian Ringgit: BNM hawkish tilt supports MYR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank highlights that Bank Negara Malaysia kept the OPR at 2.75% but shifted to a more hawkish bias, removing language that policy is “appropriate” and signalling vigilance on cost pressures. Strong growth and benign inflation allow patience, yet the bank appears to prepare markets for a possible hike later this year or early 2027, with […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
Institutional, OCBC
Indonesian Rupiah: Two-way risks around support levels – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that USD/IDR has pulled back as a softer Dollar and lower UST yields support the Indonesian Rupiah. He highlights Bank Indonesia Governor Destry Damayanti’s emphasis on a stability-first approach, prioritizing Rupiah and macro stability while still supporting growth. Wong sees near-term support for IDR but flags elevated Oil prices and high global yields […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Chinese Yuan: Services PMI rebound keeps PBoC cautious – Commerzbank
Commerzbank says China’s August Services PMI rebound highlights some resilience in private-sector activity, but weak retail sales, soft inflation and higher unemployment still point to fragile domestic demand. The stronger PMI reduces the urgency for immediate PBoC easing, while leaving room for further support if growth weakens into year-end. Fragile demand keeps PBoC easing options […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 1 week ago