Market Situation Wheat Fundamental and Market Context Historical Valuation (Z-score) Scenarios Gold Fundamental and Market Context Buyers slightly trimmed long positions last week, which may be linked to rising US yields. Source: CFTC, XTB Historical Valuation (Z-score) Scenarios WTI Crude Oil Fundamental and Market Context Calendar spreads remain elevated but show signs of stabilizing, which […]
Brent crude rose above $99 a barrel on Wednesday, reaching its highest level in nearly seven weeks and approaching the key $100 threshold after Iran said it had struck two American vessels and eight oil tankers in the Gulf. The escalation heightened concerns over further disruptions to global oil supplies. Tehran also launched ballistic missiles […]
US heating oil prices rose above $4.63 per gallon, moving back toward their record high as refineries grapple with increasingly constrained refined-product supplies. The Middle East war continued to escalate as Iranian-backed Houthis launched strikes on Saudi energy facilities, including the Jazan oil refinery. This comes on top of ongoing disruptions and reduced traffic through […]
Tanker attacks, the Strait of Hormuz dispute, and record US fuel prices fuel the next wave of the energy crisis. Oil prices on global exchanges are surging, with the valuation of a barrel of Brent dangerously approaching the $100 mark, reaching over $98. The American benchmark, WTI crude, is climbing above $93. The main driver […]
Chicago wheat futures (WHEAT) are up more than 3% today as investors price in a more persistent reduction in supply amid the ongoing war between Ukraine and Russia, with both sides targeting exports and disrupting key logistics routes. WHEAT chart (D1 interval) Over the past several sessions, selling pressure in wheat was visible across all […]
Today’s economic calendar is very light, with investors shifting their attention toward the second half of the week. The key release will be Friday’s U.S. CPI inflation report for August. German imports and exports unexpectedly declined, but EURUSD is holding up relatively well and has managed to move back above its 200-day exponential moving average […]
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights that Hungarian inflation rebounded to 1.3% in August but stayed below expectations and the NBH’s forecast, with price growth seen remaining under target this year. Markets are focused on a potential pause in rate cuts and a lower inflation target ahead of Euro adoption, while EUR/HUF could move back above 364 […]
Danske Bank notes European equities were broadly flat on Monday, with the Stoxx 600 unchanged and OMX Nordic slightly higher, while Asian markets rallied in thin trading as US markets were closed for Labor Day. The bank highlights strong performance in technology, particularly semi-conductors and AI-linked hardware, while rising bond yields weighed on real estate […]
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes EUR/USD is holding near 1.16 as a softer US Dollar (USD) and firmer Euro-area data offset higher Oil prices. Strong expectations for a 25bp European Central Bank (ECB) hike and improving Euro-area sentiment are seen limiting Euro downside in the near term, though elevated Oil and political uncertainty in Germany keep […]
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes the Japanese Yen has strengthened below 154 against the US Dollar (USD), its firmest level since February, as markets price faster Bank of Japan tightening. A 25 bps hike at the 18 September Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting is seen largely priced, with focus shifting to future rate guidance. Wan projects […]