Institutional
Institutional
Daily Summary: “Heat” of the NFP Print Cools Market Sentiment
• NFP report as the main driver of market volatility. The U.S. economy created 162,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August, tripling the market consensus of approximately 55,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, while average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month over month. The surprisingly strong data pushed the probability of a Fed rate hike […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Malaysian Ringgit: BNM hawkish tilt supports MYR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank highlights that Bank Negara Malaysia kept the OPR at 2.75% but shifted to a more hawkish bias, removing language that policy is “appropriate” and signalling vigilance on cost pressures. Strong growth and benign inflation allow patience, yet the bank appears to prepare markets for a possible hike later this year or early 2027, with […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Indonesian Rupiah: Two-way risks around support levels – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that USD/IDR has pulled back as a softer Dollar and lower UST yields support the Indonesian Rupiah. He highlights Bank Indonesia Governor Destry Damayanti’s emphasis on a stability-first approach, prioritizing Rupiah and macro stability while still supporting growth. Wong sees near-term support for IDR but flags elevated Oil prices and high global yields […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Chinese Yuan: Services PMI rebound keeps PBoC cautious – Commerzbank
Commerzbank says China’s August Services PMI rebound highlights some resilience in private-sector activity, but weak retail sales, soft inflation and higher unemployment still point to fragile domestic demand. The stronger PMI reduces the urgency for immediate PBoC easing, while leaving room for further support if growth weakens into year-end. Fragile demand keeps PBoC easing options […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
DBS, Institutional
Malaysia: Hawkish pause keeps options open – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng notes that Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) held the Overnight Policy Rate at 2.75% while dropping language that the current level is appropriate. DBS expects rates to remain unchanged through 2026 but sees risks tilted towards a one-off policy normalisation. BNM holds but signals flexibility “Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) maintained its […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, OCBC
Indian Rupee: Dollar inflows support INR but impulse may fade – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that strong foreign-currency inflows linked to the RBI’s special measures have bolstered the Indian Rupee (INR) and strengthened the central bank’s FX buffer. However, with the FCNR(B) window now closed, the exceptional near-term dollar supply is expected to fade, potentially leading to more two-way RBI management. Wong adds that USD/INR remains under bearish […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
Eurozone: Inflation above target into 2027 – Nordea
Nordea expects Eurozone inflation dynamics to stay persistent, with headline inflation projected above the ECB’s target at least until spring 2027. They see recent data as slightly weaker than the ECB’s June projections, partly due to soft food prices, but anticipate only modest downward revisions. Core inflation is projected to remain above 2% through 2028, supporting further […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
Week Ahead – Sep 7th
Signs of tanker traffic through the Persian Gulf will be monitored after the outbreak of strikes between Iran and the US, prolonging the shock to energy supply from the region. The US will publish consumer and producer inflation rates, the last major releases before the Federal Reserve’s September decision. Other key data includes Michigan consumer […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis, USD
Trade of The Day – USD/ZAR
Facts Recommendation Figure 1: USDZAR (04.01.2025 – 04.09.2026) Source: xStation, 04.09.2026 (3:22 PM) Opinion Over the last month, the South African rand has strengthened against the US dollar by over 2.5%. The reasons for this movement can be found in two key factors: rising gold prices and an increase in bets for interest rate hikes […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
NFP with a massive upside; EURUSD dips
US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls Aug: 162K (est 55K; prev -23K, prevR 21K) – Unemployment Rate: 4.1% (est 4.1%; prev 4.1%) – Avg Hourly Earnings (M/M): 0.3% (est 0.3%; prev 0.1%) – Avg Hourly Earnings (Y/Y): 3.1% (est 3.1%; prev 3.2%) US stocks and bonds declined after a remarkably strong August jobs report fueled speculation […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago