OCBC’s Christopher Wong reports Gold rebounded over 2% towards 4510 as Waller’s comments led markets to pare September Fed hike expectations, lowering UST yields and the Dollar. Wong remains constructive but notes near-term direction will hinge on Fed repricing, with upcoming payrolls, Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) key. Geopolitical tensions are marginally supportive, […]
Friday’s EURUSD session is dominated by expectations ahead of the most important release of the week, the NFP report. Over the past few days, the outlook for US monetary policy has become significantly more complicated. Kevin Warsh sounded particularly hawkish during the Jackson Hole symposium, arguing that inflation remains too high and that the Fed […]
The US economy is expected to have added 56K jobs in August 2026, marking a modest rebound after a surprising decline of 23K in July. The private sector is forecast to have accounted for 45K of those gains. Local government education employment is expected to recover and a rebound is also anticipated in the leisure […]
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes strong Indian Rupee (INR) outperformance driven by larger-than-expected US Dollar (USD) inflows from Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) FCNR(B) measures, which now exceed US$130bn. Wan still expects USD/INR to trend higher over time but argues that RBI’s FX measures have reduced left-tail depreciation risks. MUFG also sees scope for higher Indian rates given […]
Danske Research Team highlights that Fed Governor Waller is inclined to keep rates unchanged in September if August inflation shows further progress, but would consider a hike if inflation comes in hot. His remarks pushed September hike pricing closer to a 50/50 call and weighed slightly on the Dollar, while strong ISM services data and the upcoming […]
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices, including ICE Brent above US$95/bbl, remain supported by heightened US-Iran tensions and robust Iraqi exports routed via the Strait of Hormuz. However, they highlight that if Hormuz flows remain uninterrupted and Saudi Arabia’s unchanged official selling prices signal looser fundamentals, upward pressure on Oil […]
Global equity and bond markets are eagerly awaiting the week’s main event – the publication of the U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) report for August. Yesterday’s session on Wall Street ended in positive territory following dovish comments from Federal Reserve Board Governor Christopher Waller, who signaled a readiness to hold or cut interest rates if incoming […]
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that recent interventions by Japanese authorities and the US Treasury have largely lost impact, with the Japanese Yen giving back gains against the Dollar and US yields returning to prior levels. She highlights unclear policy objectives and credibility issues, noting that fiscal concerns remain a headwind for the US Dollar […]
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Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that the officials will closely monitoring bond markets with heightened urgency. Key quotes Interest rate shifts driven by multiple market factors. Closely monitoring bond markets with heightened urgency. No comment on specific levels. Will aim to gradually lower debt-to-GDP ratio. Have emphasized to global leaders our […]