Institutional
DBS, Institutional
Euro: Support at 180 eyed against Yen on BoJ risk – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee argues that downside risk in EUR/JPY is less straightforward than in CHF/JPY. He notes that Euro (EUR) strength versus the Swiss Franc (CHF) and British Pound (GBP), and an anti-USD trade, support the Euro as markets price in rate hikes from both the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of Japan (BoJ). However, he warns […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
Economic Calendar: ECB decision, Oracle results, and US inflation – what to expect?
This week will be dominated primarily by Friday’s release of US inflation data for August. For many FOMC policymakers, these figures could ultimately tip the balance towards either a pause or an interest rate hike at next week’s meeting. CPI Inflation (Friday, 11.09) In this context, it is worth recalling the words of Christopher Waller, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, Technical Analysis
The Week Ahead
Key takeaways The Week Ahead: US CPI to determine whether the Fed pulls the trigger this month Markets are quiet at the start of a new week. The euro is mostly stable, even though the AfD, a far right party in Germany, won the state elections in Saxony-Anhalt on Sunday. This is the first time […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Dankse Bank, Institutional
Equities: Labour data weighs on stocks – Danske Bank
Danske Research notes that a strong US labour market report increased expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, pressuring global equities. The S&P 500 declined while the Stoxx 600 posted a small gain, with cyclicals outperforming and rate-sensitive sectors underperforming. The team highlights that, despite Friday’s weakness, it was broadly a cyclical week, with Financials, […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
CEE FX: Hawkish pricing versus dovish banks – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights a busy CEE data and policy calendar, with Hungary’s inflation seen edging up, the National Bank of Poland and Central Bank of Turkey expected on hold, and Romania’s inflation falling sharply on base effects. He argues markets overprice tightening in Czech Republic and Poland, seeing scope for narrower rate differentials and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
US Dollar: Volatility risks around Fed decision – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the latest US labour market report does not materially alter expectations for a September Fed rate move, leaving August US inflation as the key driver. Market pricing of roughly a 60% probability for a hike suggests divided positioning, with potential for significant USD volatility around the Fed meeting depending on how […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
ING, Institutional
Oil: Tanker risks support prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil remains supported as tensions between the US and Iran escalate in the Persian Gulf. They highlight continued flows through the Strait of Hormuz, aided by US Navy escorts, and unchanged OPEC+ quotas. Speculative net longs in ICE Brent have risen, while disruptions mean many producers […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Dankse Bank, Institutional
Euro: Range holds before key data against US Dollar – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports EUR/USD trading in a narrow 1.1610–1.1620 range after quickly reversing losses from a stronger US jobs report. They highlight a thin data calendar with United States (US) markets closed, and note that attention will shift to the upcoming European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, where a rate hike is widely expected, and […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional, JPY
Japan Forex Reserves Post Record Drop
Japan’s foreign reserves fell by a record USD 79.6 billion, or 6.18%, to USD 1.208 trillion at the end of August 2026 from USD 1.287 trillion a month earlier, marking their lowest level since October 2022. The sharp drop came after Tokyo launched its largest-ever yen-buying intervention, spending ¥15.4 trillion ($98.7 billion) between July 30 […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago
Institutional
Three Markets to Watch Next Week
The past week brought a major surprise to the markets in the form of the US labour market report (NFP). An increase in employment of 162,000 jobs (against a forecast of just 55,000) drastically altered expectations regarding the outlook for interest rates in the US. This turn of events strengthened the dollar and put immediate […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 4 weeks ago