Sugar Prices Rebound as Brazil Rain Slows Harvest While Global Deficit Risks Build Into 2027
Commodities, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
Sugar Prices Rebound as Brazil Rain Slows Harvest While Global Deficit Risks Build Into 2027
Sugar markets are currently balancing two opposing forces: near-term demand weakness and improving physical availability on one side, against growing production risks in Brazil, India and Thailand on the other. NY world sugar #11 has recently come under pressure after reaching a multi-month high earlier in September, but prices recovered as concerns over excessive Brazilian […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Commodities, Market Analysis
Cotton Prices Slip as US Crop Conditions Deteriorate and Certified Stocks Tighten
Cotton futures closed lower on Tuesday, with contracts falling between 16 and 55 points as pressure from weaker crude oil prices and a firmer US dollar outweighed signs of tightening certified cotton availability. The latest USDA data also showed US cotton ginnings running below last year’s pace, while crop condition ratings remained weak, particularly in […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Institutional, MUFG
New Zealand Dollar: Hawkish RBNZ pricing supports kiwi – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman highlights the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as the main overnight mover, boosted by hawkish guidance from Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Governor Breman. His comments on higher Oil-driven inflation have reinforced expectations for a third consecutive 25 bps hike next month. Stronger-than-expected Q2 growth and markets pricing over 100 bps of […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
JPY, Market Analysis, USD
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Rises to near 158.00 near 50-day EMA
USD/JPY gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 157.70 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency pair is consolidating after the recent pullback while remaining capped by the medium-term trend filter. Price is now above the nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but still below the 50-period EMA, which suggests a neutral to […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
EUR, Market Analysis
Euro hits fresh seven-week lows as German political uncertainty offsets risk-on mood
The Euro (EUR) is failing to draw any support from the moderate risk appetite triggered by the recent pullback in Oil prices and extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hitting fresh seven-week lows below 1.1450. The growing political uncertainty in Germany, after the defeat of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU in last weekend’s […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Energies, Market Analysis
WTI falls to near $90.00 after news of Iran proposing reopening Hormuz
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) extends its losing streak after losing daily gains, trading around $90.20 per barrel during the European hours on Tuesday. Crude oil prices lose ground after Kyodo News noted a senior Iranian official, saying that Iran has offered to reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz within seven days on the condition that the United […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
BNY, Institutional
Federal Reserve: Hiking path constrained by supply shocks – BNY
John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be. He expects one more rate hike in December 2026 but questions whether all the hikes priced for 2027 will be delivered, given the nature of the inflation […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Iran offers to reopen Hormuz Strait within 7 days – Kyodo News
According to a report from Kyodo news, a senior Iranian official has said that Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint to almost 20% of global energy supply, within seven days if the United States (US) takes initial steps toward easing military pressure. Market reaction A sharp selling pressure is seen in oil […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
UOB
Australian Dollar: Consolidation continues below resistance against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see AUD/USD consolidating around 0.7120 after a brief spike to 0.7140. Intraday price action is viewed as part of a 0.7105–0.7135 range. They still hold a negative 1–3 week stance, conditional on resistance at 0.7140, but acknowledge that the probability of a drop to 0.7050 has […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago
Commodities, Energies, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
Commodity Talk – Oil, Natgas, Cotton, Cocoa
Key takeaways Market Situation Since the beginning of this year, orange juice, coffee, and US natural gas remain sharply lower. Precious metals, except gold (which posts a minimal YTD decline), remain low. A large portion of commodities show rather negative signals from MACD. Source: XTB From a slightly shorter-term perspective (1 year), highly overbought markets […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 1 month ago