The Week Ahead – Markets Enter a Critical Week as Europe, US Rates and AI Stocks Drive the Outlook
Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
The Week Ahead – Markets Enter a Critical Week as Europe, US Rates and AI Stocks Drive the Outlook
Global markets enter the new week with investors balancing three competing forces: renewed fiscal concerns in Europe, fading expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike and increasingly stretched valuations across the technology sector. Europe is facing the greatest immediate political and bond-market pressure, with French yields elevated and the euro under renewed pressure. At the […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Commodities, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis
Wheat Rebounds as Black Sea Risks Threaten Global Grain Supplies
Wheat prices are recovering towards $6.90 per bushel as renewed escalation risks between Russia and Ukraine raise concerns over the security of Black Sea grain supplies. The market is responding to the possibility that further attacks on critical infrastructure could disrupt exports through one of the world’s most important grain-trading regions. The latest developments increase […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
India 10Y Yield Rises on State Debt Supply
The yield on India’s 10-year G-Sec hovered around 7.22%, extending gains to over two-year highs as expectations of higher debt supply and tighter monetary policy weighed on bond prices. States and union territories plan to raise INR 3.61 trillion through bonds in October-December, above market estimates of INR 3.25-3.50 trillion, with issuance skewed toward longer […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Turkey Inflation Rate Lowest Since 2021
Turkey’s annual inflation rate slowed to 29.73% in September 2026 from 31.51% in the previous month, below market expectations of 30.3%. It marked the lowest reading since November 2021, strengthening expectations for an interest rate cut later this month as policymakers seek to alleviate liquidity pressures linked to the domestic fund crisis. While elevated oil […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
South Africa Private Sector Contracts in September
The S&P Global South Africa PMI fell to 49.0 in September 2026 from 50.5 in August, signalling a renewed contraction in private sector activity and the weakest performance so far this year. The downturn was driven by a sharp decline in new orders, which fell at the fastest pace in two-and-a-half years amid uncertainty over […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
France Services Activity Rebounds in September
The S&P Global France Services PMI fell to 51.2 in September 2026, revising lower than the preliminary estimate of 51.4 but rising from 48.0 in August, marking the first expansion in services activity since last December. Growth remained modest and below the survey average, while new business declined marginally as uncertainty weighed on sales. New […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Deutsche Bank, Institutional
Equities: Strong earnings cycle offsets yield shock – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that global equities ended last week only 0.5% lower despite a rapid rise in yields, with tech and cyclicals outperforming. Over the past two weeks, equities are up 0.4%, while volatility has been largely confined to bonds. The team argues strong earnings growth explains equities’ resilience versus the rates shock. Tech […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Institutional, UOB
British Pound: Rebound capped as downside bias lingers against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategist Quek Ser Leang notes GBP/USD recovered to 1.3238 after failing to extend Thursday’s decline, but intraday gains are expected to stay within 1.3215–1.3265. Over the next 1–3 weeks, he maintains a mildly negative stance, looking for a move toward 1.3140 while 1.3265 acts as strong resistance. Pound-Dollar rebound seen limited […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
Euro: Political risks weigh on common currency – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen argues that growing concerns over France’s public debt sustainability are now weighing on the Euro (EUR), after previously leaving the currency largely untouched despite bond market turmoil. She highlights the risk that the European Central Bank (ECB) could be forced into a more accommodative stance and notes that German Bunds’ safe-haven […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago
Market Analysis, Metals, Technical Analysis
Copper Gains as Lower Fed Rate Pressure Supports Metals While China Demand Weighs
Copper prices are finding renewed support above $6.50 per pound as expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening ease following softer US employment data. Lower expectations for interest-rate increases are helping reduce pressure on non-yielding commodities, while longer-term demand prospects linked to data centres, electrification and renewable-energy infrastructure remain supportive. However, copper’s near-term outlook remains mixed. […]
by Currency Hedger
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- 4 days ago