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December ICE NY cocoa (CCZ26) closed down -200 (-2.95%) on Tuesday, and December ICE London cocoa #7 (CAZ26) closed down -42 (-0.86%). Cocoa prices retreated on Tuesday, with London cocoa falling from an 11-month high. Larger supplies from the Ivory Coast pressured cocoa prices on Tuesday. Cumulative data from the Ivory Coast, the worldโs largest […]
October NY world sugar #11 (SBV26) closed up +0.55 (+3.09%) on Tuesday, and October London ICE white sugar #5 (SWV26) closed up +19.60 (+3.81%). Sugar prices settled sharply higher on Tuesday after the International Sugar Organization (ISO) projected a global sugar deficit. ISO on Tuesday projected a 2026/27 global sugar deficit of -200,000 MT after […]
Cotton posted Turnaround Tuesday losses of 115 to 169 points at the Tuesday close. Crude oil was $4.92 per barrel higher on the day, with the US dollar index up $0.235. Weekly Crop Progress data showed 89% of the US cotton setting bolls as of Sunday, with 29% of the crop with bolls opening. Condition […]
The rise in oil prices is putting pressure on the precious metals market today, with gold down nearly 1.5% and silver falling close to 2.5%. The move comes alongside higher bond yields and growing expectations for faster interest-rate hikes in the U.S. Volatility may increase this afternoon when the U.S. JOLTS and ISM Manufacturing data […]
The euro is recovering slightly after its recent losses despite unfavorable data from the euro area, where CPI inflation rose at a slower pace than expected and the unemployment rate increased to 6.4%, exceeding forecasts. EURUSD (M15 interval) Source: xStation5
This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analysed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis utilises solely the Overbalance methodology, which enables the identification of points where a trend may continue or where a reversal may occur. Todayโs analysis covers three instruments, assessed solely in terms of their 1:1 […]
German retail sales disappointed sharply in July, falling 3.4% m/m versus expectations for a 0.4% increase. This was a significant downside surprise, pointing to weaker private consumption. Moreover, Destatis revised the June reading to 0.0% m/m from the previously reported 0.7% decline. The weak data are not encouraging for equities and the valuations of companies […]
Societe Generale notes that the Polish Zloty strengthened while domestic bonds sold off as August inflation and second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) exceeded expectations and the government presented its 2027 budget. The draft foresees a 7.1% of GDP deficit and a tax overhaul shifting burden toward corporates, raising concerns about ratings risks and borrowing costs despite recent […]
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky reports that Polish inflation surprised to 3.4% on higher fuel prices, while food prices fell, and a busy data calendar looms for Central and Eastern Europe. He notes regional markets have shifted back into hawkish mode after recent Federal Reserve comments and geopolitical tensions, with Czech and Polish curves pricing multiple hikes, which should limit […]
Standard Chartered strategists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand expect the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to deliver a total of 50bps of repo rate hikes in FY27, split between October and December 2026, citing resilient activity and hawkish August Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) minutes. They highlight upside risks if inflation surprises higher, but still see […]
