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Societe Generale strategists observe that the Brazilian Real (BRL) largely ignored softer inflation data, which still supports a Banco Central do Brasil (BCB) rate cut in September followed by a pause into elections. A broader easing cycle could attract bond inflows and support the BRL, with USD/BRL expected to remain in a narrow range and […]
Rabobank’s Christian Lawrence and Molly Schwartz highlight that USD/MXN has broken below 17 for the first time since May 2024, prompting a forecast revision toward 16.5 in coming weeks. They see strong carry demand and subdued volatility keeping MXN supported, while a mild retracement is projected for next year, with the pair staying within recent […]
Commerzbankโs Tatha Ghose revisits Turkish inflation dynamics, noting seasonally-adjusted price momentum above 2% m/m and warning that disinflation is unlikely. Market participants have raised year-end Consumer Price Index (CPI) expectations to 29.5% y/y, above Central Bank of the Republic of Tรผrkiye’s (CBRT) 28% forecast. Ghose argues CBRT repeatedly chases private forecasts, undermining credibility, while persistent […]
BNYโs Geoff Yu notes that stronger Oil prices have improved Norwayโs terms of trade, but EUR/NOK gains have pushed up the I-44 import price index. While Norges Bank can focus on domestic factors thanks to NOKโs year-to-date performance, Yu warns that high investor holdings and a weaker valuation case make short EUR/NOK trades unattractive, with […]
BS Group Researchโs Philip Wee notes AUD/USD has risen 2.2% in August after a 1.5% gain in July, leaving the Australian Dollar near year-to-date highs and the best-performing G10 currency in 2026. The move is driven by swift repricing of a Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate hike in November following hawkish minutes and upside […]
The Deutsche Bank strategists describe a modestly positive shift in equity sentiment following Nvidiaโs earnings. After a quiet cash session for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Nvidiaโs revenue beat and bullish AI outlook pushed its shares up 4.7% after-hours, lifting S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures. Salesforce and CrowdStrike results further supported global tech-linked equities. Nvidia-led rebound in equity […]
Danske Research Team notes that the United States (US) Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index inflation surprise triggered a hawkish market reaction, pushing US rates higher and weighing on EUR/USD. The pair dropped to 1.1650 as the US Dollar (USD) found support from stronger data. Markets also increased pricing for a potential September Fed rate hike, reinforcing […]
Wheat prices are currently driven by various overlapping geopolitical risks and rapidly deteriorating global harvest prospects. Recent gains have clearly accelerated, and US wheat contract quotes have reached the 751.1 USD level, making it one of the absolute commodity market leaders recently. How have wheat prices changed recently? Wheat prices are in an uptrend. In […]
The USD/JPY pair turns positive for the fourth consecutive day following an intraday dip to the 159.00 neighborhood during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade near the weekly high, though the uptick lacks bullish conviction ahead of Tokyo consumer inflation figures and US Federal Reserve (Fed) Kevin Warsh’s speech on Friday. The slightly hot […]
USD/CHF remains steady after registering 0.5% gains in the previous day, trading around 0.8050 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair remains bound to a tight range as a resilient US Dollar (USD) holds its ground, bolstered by robust economic data. Julyโs PCE price index accelerated to 0.2% month-on-month, edging past the 0.1% […]
