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Canadian Dollar: Trade war escalation threatens recent strength – MUFG
Institutional, MUFG
Canadian Dollar: Trade war escalation threatens recent strength – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny argues the Canadian Dollar’s (CAD) reaction to the new US tariffs on USD 20bn of Canadian exports will hinge on escalation risks rather than the initial measures. CAD has underperformed in G10 after talks broke down, and Halpenny warns that tit-for-tat tariffs and fading support from higher Oil could intensify CAD downside […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 5 hours ago
Metals, Technical Analysis
Gold extends rally as markets await US PCE and Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech
Gold (XAU/USD) holds intraday gains at the start of American trading hours on Monday, building on the strong rally seen last week following the US Treasury’s buyback announcement. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,658, up nearly 1.2% on the day at levels last seen on May 15. The Treasury’s decision to increase […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
Institutional
Australian Dollar: Cooling inflation but carry remains supportive – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Australia’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) to ease, with headline and trimmed mean inflation drifting lower, in line with softer labor conditions and wage growth. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Minutes and Q2 capex will shape rate expectations, with futures still pricing a 60% chance of one more […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
CommerzBank, Institutional
CEE FX: Koruna leads as policy diverges – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reviews recent CEE FX performance, noting that the euro’s strength above 1.17 has supported high-beta PLN and HUF, while the Czech koruna has also gained despite its lower beta profile. He highlights the divergence in regional monetary policy, with the CNB expected to tighten further while the MNB remains in an easing […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
BNY, Institutional
Hungarian Forint: MNB easing and HUF carry prospects – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu describes Hungary as a constructive story within EMEA, with post-election re-rating and scope for continued MNB easing. Yu notes corporate flows are strong, spreads still compensatory, and argues Hungarian Forint (HUF) can make a stronger case as a carry currency if inflation stays contained, even as power and energy constraints justify caution […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
Institutional, TDS
Canadian Dollar: GDP rebound supports Loonie – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence expect Canada’s Q2 National Accounts to show a sharp rebound in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, driven by stronger exports and solid services activity. They forecast expenditure-based GDP at 3.5% annualized and industry-level GDP up 0.3% m/m, with July flash data likely keeping Q3 GDP above potential […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
Institutional, OCBC
US Dollar: Debasement narrative caps upside – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that the US Treasury’s expanded long-end buyback programme has revived market fears of Dollar debasement, driving a weaker USD, stronger Gold and higher breakevens. They stress this is not classic QE, but highlight rising US policy uncertainty, questions over Fed independence and Jackson Hole risks as key […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
Institutional, Societe Generale
Gold: Breakout sustains upward momentum – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts highlight that Gold has broken out of a small base formation, reclaimed its 200‑DMA and is enjoying an extended rebound. The move is framed within broader Dollar debasement concerns and rising term premium. The bank flags successive upside hurdles at $4,730/$4,770 and the April peak at $4,890, with the 200‑DMA near $4,510 […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 6 hours ago
CAD, Technical Analysis, USD
Chart of the Day: Trump drives the Canadian dollar sell-off
The week has begun with relatively low volatility in the currency market. An exception is the Canadian dollar, which is weakening against the US dollar today by over 0.4%. Figure 1: G10 Currency Dashboard (24.06.2026) Source: XTB Research, 24.08.2026 Where can the reasons for such a move be found? Return of the Trade War Talks […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 10 hours ago
Metals
Steel Drops to 4-Week Low
Steel rebar futures fell to around CNY 3,070, retreating from multi-week highs to four-week lows as weak construction activity and elevated rebar inventories continued to weigh on sentiment. China’s property market remained under pressure, with new home prices falling year-on-year in July, while rebar stockpiles stayed above year-ago levels. Weak mill profitability also limited buying […]
by Currency Hedger
- 0 Comments
- 12 hours ago
