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The dollar index held above 99 on Monday after rebounding slightly in the previous session, supported by stronger-than-expected US jobs data that reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Data released Friday showed US nonfarm payrolls rose by 162,000 in August, following a revised increase of 23,000 in July and comfortably […]
The New Zealand dollar edged down to $0.586 on Monday after falling 0.6% last week, as the Reserve Bank of New Zealandโs cautious approach to further monetary tightening weighed on the currency. The RBNZ raised its official cash rate for a second consecutive meeting last week, but signalled that future increases would be gradual amid […]
The Australian dollar held above $0.72, near a four-month high as growing expectations of another interest rate hike by the Reserve Bank continued to support the currency, while the US dollar remained broadly weaker. The greenback struggled to sustain the brief lift it received from a ramp-up in US rate hike bets following Fridayโs blowout […]
The Japanese yen traded around 156 per dollar on Monday after gaining more than 2% last week, supported by growing expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates this month. Takuji Aida, an economic adviser to Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, said the central bank is likely to hike rates in September and deliver […]
The past week brought a major surprise to the markets in the form of the US labour market report (NFP). An increase in employment of 162,000 jobs (against a forecast of just 55,000) drastically altered expectations regarding the outlook for interest rates in the US. This turn of events strengthened the dollar and put immediate […]
โข NFP report as the main driver of market volatility. The U.S. economy created 162,000 nonfarm payroll jobs in August, tripling the market consensus of approximately 55,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, while average hourly earnings rose 0.3% month over month. The surprisingly strong data pushed the probability of a Fed rate hike […]
Commerzbank highlights that Bank Negara Malaysia kept the OPR at 2.75% but shifted to a more hawkish bias, removing language that policy is “appropriate” and signalling vigilance on cost pressures. Strong growth and benign inflation allow patience, yet the bank appears to prepare markets for a possible hike later this year or early 2027, with […]
The USD/CHF registers modest gains of over 0.30% as the Greenback is boosted by a solid US Nonfarm Payrolls report, pushing the pair above the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) to reach a daily high of 0.8126. At the time of writing, trades at 0.8098. USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical Outlook The USD/CHF trades just above […]
OCBCโs Christopher Wong notes that USD/IDR has pulled back as a softer Dollar and lower UST yields support the Indonesian Rupiah. He highlights Bank Indonesia Governor Destry Damayantiโs emphasis on a stability-first approach, prioritizing Rupiah and macro stability while still supporting growth. Wong sees near-term support for IDR but flags elevated Oil prices and high global yields […]
Commerzbank says Chinaโs August Services PMI rebound highlights some resilience in private-sector activity, but weak retail sales, soft inflation and higher unemployment still point to fragile domestic demand. The stronger PMI reduces the urgency for immediate PBoC easing, while leaving room for further support if growth weakens into year-end. Fragile demand keeps PBoC easing options […]
