USD/JPY gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 157.70 during the European hours on Tuesday. The currency pair is consolidating after the recent pullback while remaining capped by the medium-term trend filter. Price is now above the nine-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) but still below the 50-period EMA, which suggests a neutral to […]
The Euro (EUR) is failing to draw any support from the moderate risk appetite triggered by the recent pullback in Oil prices and extends losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hitting fresh seven-week lows below 1.1450. The growing political uncertainty in Germany, after the defeat of Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s CDU in last weekend’s […]
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) extends its losing streak after losing daily gains, trading around $90.20 per barrel during the European hours on Tuesday. Crude oil prices lose ground after Kyodo News noted a senior Iranian official, saying that Iran has offered to reopen the vital Strait of Hormuz within seven days on the condition that the United […]
John Velis at BNY Markets argues that current US inflation is being driven by non-rate-sensitive components of core PCE, limiting how effective further Federal Reserve tightening can be. He expects one more rate hike in December 2026 but questions whether all the hikes priced for 2027 will be delivered, given the nature of the inflation […]
According to a report from Kyodo news, a senior Iranian official has said that Iran will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint to almost 20% of global energy supply, within seven days if the United States (US) takes initial steps toward easing military pressure. Market reaction A sharp selling pressure is seen in oil […]
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see AUD/USD consolidating around 0.7120 after a brief spike to 0.7140. Intraday price action is viewed as part of a 0.7105–0.7135 range. They still hold a negative 1–3 week stance, conditional on resistance at 0.7140, but acknowledge that the probability of a drop to 0.7050 has […]
Key takeaways Market Situation Since the beginning of this year, orange juice, coffee, and US natural gas remain sharply lower. Precious metals, except gold (which posts a minimal YTD decline), remain low. A large portion of commodities show rather negative signals from MACD. Source: XTB From a slightly shorter-term perspective (1 year), highly overbought markets […]
Wall Street indices hit new record highs. What’s next for S&P 500?U.S. index futures are coming off their strongest session in several months, which pushed the S&P 500 futures contract ( US500 ) to fresh all-time highs. The move was driven largely by falling oil prices. Investors’ attention is now gradually shifting toward the next […]
One word keeps coming up in connection with the Nasdaq: “expensive.” And it’s hardly surprising, because when you look at the trailing price-to-earnings ratio, which is nearing 31, and add to that the price-to-sales ratio and EV/EBITDA, the picture does indeed look challenging. The problem is that the market isn’t always valued through the lens […]
Key takeaways The UK’s public finance data for August made for more grim reading on the state of the UK’s public finances. The UK borrowed £18.3bn last month, up nearly 20% compared to a year ago, partly due to the impact of inflation. Borrowing in the financial year to August remains £8.1bn above the official […]