Wheat markets are strengthening as weather-related planting concerns in the United States combine with renewed geopolitical risks in the Black Sea region. Chicago, Kansas City and Minneapolis wheat futures are all showing strong upward momentum, with the latest move pushing nearby Chicago wheat above $7.00 per bushel. The rally is being supported by concerns over […]
The corn market closed higher today as conditions become more favorable for an accelerated corn harvest in the United States. In its weekly Crop Progress report released yesterday, the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported that 23 percent of the corn crop had been harvested. This is behind the five-year average of 27 percent […]
Key takeaways Commodities Overview In the commodities market, we are observing a clear polarization in the energy sector, where European natural gas continues its strong wave of appreciation (+2.24% today, +162.78% YTD), while crude oil prices have come under strong supply pressure. Today’s declines in Brent crude (-3.07%) and WTI (-2.46%) deepen the correction, driven […]
The S&P Global UK Construction PMI rose to 46.1 in September 2026 from 44.3 in August, missing expectations of 45.2 and signaling the slowest decline in construction output since January. Commercial construction showed the greatest resilience, falling only marginally, followed by civil engineering and residential construction with softer contractions. However, total new orders fell at […]
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield fell to 3.45%, retreating from the 17-year highs reached last week, as turmoil in bond markets prompted investors to scale back expectations for further ECB rate hikes. Markets are now pricing in an 80% probability of another rate increase by year-end. Whereas investors had previously expected at least three further hikes […]
The GBP/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers near the 1.3200 mark on Tuesday and hits a fresh daily high during the first half of the European session. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a familiar range held over the past two weeks or so and currently trade around the 1.3240 region, up less than 0.10% for […]
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke notes the Brazilian Real (BRL) strengthened about 4% as USD/BRL fell from 5.2 to 5 on F. Bolsonaro’s election lead. He cautions that despite gains by Partido Liberal and other conservatives, Bolsonaro would still lack outright majorities and remain reliant on alliances. Market-friendly reforms and Real-positive policies therefore face political hurdles, tempering […]
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Japanese Yen has softened after a Bloomberg report on the GPIF’s September meeting, lifting USD/JPY back above 158.00. Despite the correction, the Yen remains the best-performing G10 currency since August, helped by faster Bank of Japan policy normalization and higher JGB yields. Reuters sources suggest the BoJ may signal […]
Francesco Pesole at ING highlights that the Euro (EUR) is under pressure from French bond market turbulence, which is adding a fiscal risk premium and driving a repricing lower in European Central Bank (ECB) rate expectations. Swap differentials now resemble levels historically consistent with weaker EUR/USD. ING sees limited confidence in a sustained rebound and […]
France’s state budget deficit widened to EUR 159.6 billion in the January-August period from EUR 157.5 billion a year earlier. Expenditure rose 4.4% year-on-year to EUR 362.97 billion, driven mainly by higher debt-servicing costs amid rising interest rates and inflation, increased military spending, and higher public energy service charges (CSPE). Meanwhile, general budget revenue increased […]