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  • GBP/USD gains ground to near 1.3600 in Monday’s early European session. 
  • The BoE maintained the interest rate at 3.75% last week but delivered a hawkish hold.
  • An Iranian official warned that Trump’s Hormuz mission will violate the ceasefire. 

The GBP/USD pair gathers strength around 1.3600 during the early European session on Monday. Signals from the Bank of England (BoE) that suggest a potential shift toward higher interest rates later this year underpin the Pound Sterling (GBP) against the US Dollar (USD). The US employment report for April will be in the spotlight later on Friday. 

The UK central bank held the bank rate steady at 3.75% as widely expected, presenting a scenario framework that suggests rate hikes could be appropriate but avoiding any pre-commitment. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey warned of “forceful tightening” if energy price shocks from the Middle East conflict continue to drive inflation. 

Nonetheless, uncertainty in the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz could support the Greenback and act as a headwind for the major pair. US President Donald Trump said the US will begin guiding some neutral ships trapped in the Persian Gulf out through the Strait of Hormuz beginning Monday. Top Iranian lawmaker Ebrahim Azizi said that any US interference in the Strait will be considered a violation of the ceasefire.

Traders brace for the US employment report for April later on Friday. The US economy is estimated to see 73K job additions in April, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to remain steady at 4.3% during the same period. Any signs of weakening in the US labor market could weigh on the USD against the GBP. 

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