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South Korean Won Rises to Over 2-Month High

The South Korean won strengthened to around 1,485 per dollar, advancing for a fifth straight session and reaching its highest level since mid-May, after the Bank of Korea raised interest rates. The central bank lifted its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75%, as widely expected, marking its first increase since early 2023 as policymakers sought to curb persistent inflation and support the currency following months of depreciation. The decision marked the start of a new tightening cycle, with investors assessing whether policymakers will deliver further rate increases if inflation remains elevated. Meanwhile, gains in the won were limited as fresh US strikes on Iran boosted demand for the safe-haven US dollar and heightened concerns over potential disruptions to global energy supplies. Broader market sentiment also remained fragile as renewed volatility in technology shares weighed on risk appetite.

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South Korean Won Nears 2-Month High

The South Korean won strengthened to around 1,490 per dollar, extending gains toward its highest level since mid-May, as investors increasingly priced in a Bank of Korea interest rate hike later this week. Persistent inflation, resilient economic growth, and elevated household debt reinforced the case for the central bank’s first rate increase in more than three years, supporting the local currency. The won also drew support from anticipated foreign exchange inflows, with SK Hynix expected to convert part of the proceeds from its $26.5 billion US listing into won for domestic investment, increasing dollar supply in the local foreign exchange market. Meanwhile, investors remained cautious as they monitored heightened Middle East tensions after the US reinstated a blockade of Iranian ports and President Donald Trump announced a 20% charge on cargo passing through the Strait of Hormuz, fueling concerns over higher energy costs, lifting oil prices, and supporting demand for the US dollar.

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South Korean Won Weakens Toward 17-Year Low

The South Korean won weakened to around 1,557 per dollar, approaching its weakest level since March 2009 near 1,560 touched earlier in June, as persistent foreign selling of local equities and broad demand for the US dollar weighed on the currency. Overseas investors remained net sellers of Korean stocks for an eighth consecutive session, extending a wave of capital outflows as global funds trimmed exposure to Korean technology shares. The won also came under pressure from a firmer US dollar after stronger-than-expected US labor market data pushed Treasury yields higher and reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates later this year. Meanwhile, South Korea reported record trade data for June, with exports surging 70.9% year-on-year to $102.25 billion, marking the first time monthly shipments exceeded $100 billion. The trade surplus widened to a record $36.15 billion, as semiconductor exports nearly tripled to $44.82 billion on robust AI-driven demand.