Welcome to Currency Hedger, hedging future conflicts and economic uncertainty.

April 18, 2026

Currency Hedger Forex Analysis

Currency Hedger’s Forex Analysis provides investors and corporate clients with clear, actionable insights into currency markets, helping them make informed decisions when managing international investments and transactions across the UAE and wider GCC. Drawing on over 16 years of experience, our analysis combines macroeconomic trends, central bank policy, and real-time market movements to identify key risks and opportunities in major currency pairs.

Rather than simply forecasting rates, we focus on how market developments impact your specific exposure — enabling you to plan ahead, reduce uncertainty, and implement effective hedging strategies.

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Today Markets – Forecasting The Upcoming Week

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is losing momentum near 98.00 as safe-haven demand fades on the reopening news, but downside remains limited amid lingering geopolitical risks. Markets are experiencing fluctuations between relief and renewed caution as developments around the Strait of Hormuz continue to evolve. Earlier reports confirmed that this vital Oil chokepoint is “fully open […]

USD/JPY slides as Iran reopens Hormuz, WTI plunges and USD weakens

USD/JPY edges lower on Friday as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against a softer US Dollar (USD), with easing Oil prices providing additional support, given Japan’s heavy reliance on imported energy. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 158.18, down 0.61% on the day. Despite the decline, the pair remains largely range-bound […]

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Breaks below key SMAs, eyes on 0.7800

USD/CHF finishes the week on a lower note, down 0.87% for the week and 0.27% in the day, as markets turn optimistic about a possible US-Iran deal over the weekend. In the meantime, the technical picture remains bearish, as the pair tumbled below key moving averages, hitting a five-week low at 0.7775. USD/CHF Price Forecast: […]

USD/CHF – Bearish Flag formation warrants more downside below 0.7790

The USD/CHF pair trades 0.15% lower at around 0.7825 during the European trading session on Friday. The Swiss Franc pair faces selling pressure as optimism towards a permanent ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran has diminished the appeal of safe-haven assets. During the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s […]

Australian Dollar outperforms on broader risk rally, hawkish RBA bets

The Australian Dollar (AUD) outperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.16% higher to near 0.7175 ahead of the opening of United States (US) markets during the European trading session on Friday. The Aussie pair trades firmly as Iran optimism-based broader risk rally has strengthened the antipodean. Australian Dollar Price Today The table below shows the […]

Chart of the Day – USD/JPY

USDJPY remains at the center of global currency market attention, with its price action increasingly driven not only by macroeconomic fundamentals but also by rising political risk. As the exchange rate approaches the psychological barrier at 160, the market is beginning to view this level as a potential tolerance threshold for Japanese authorities rather than […]

EUR/USD Price Forecast – Needs breakout above 1.1825 for a fresh rally

The EUR/USD pair trades subduedly near 1.1777 during the Asian trading session on Friday. The major currency pair has turned sideways after a two-week-long rally to near 1.1825 as investors await the announcement of another round of talks between the United States (US) and Iran. S&P 500 futures are flat in the Asian trade after rising […]

USD/CHF stays near 0.7850 amid increased market caution

USD/CHF moves little after two days of gains, trading around 0.7830 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair steadies as traders adopt caution on uncertainty over US–Iran peace deal discussions. March Meeting Minutes from the Swiss National Bank (SNB) highlighted rising uncertainty surrounding Switzerland’s economic outlook, with global developments, particularly the Middle East conflict, identified […]

NZD/USD remains subdued below 0.5900 as market caution lifts US Dollar

NZD/USD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 0.5890 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) edges higher, supported by cautious market sentiment ahead of the upcoming meeting between the United States (US) and Iran scheduled for the weekend. However, discussions between Washington and Tehran are […]

CAD receives support from higher oil prices

USD/CAD remains subdued for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.3700 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair inches lower as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) edges higher amid a slight increase in oil prices, given Canada’s status as the largest crude exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil price holds […]

AUD bulls retain control amid US-Iran diplomacy efforts, hawkish RBA

The AUD/USD pair holds steady above mid-0.7100s during the Asian session on Friday and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day’s modest pullback from its highest level since June 2022. Spot prices remain on track to register strong weekly gains amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. The announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and […]

JPY softens on Middle East uncertainty; official warns of FX intervention

The USD/JPY pair gathers strength around 159.35 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The pair extends the rally for the third consecutive day amid uncertainty in the Middle East. However, heightening intervention warnings from Japanese officials might cap the upside for USD/JPY.  US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that Israel and Lebanon agreed to a […]

Pound Sterling declines as BoE hike bets ease

GBP/USD loses ground for the third successive day, trading around 1.3520 during the Asian hours on Friday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) remains under pressure as traders pare back expectations for a Bank of England (BoE) rate hike, amid increasing optimism that tensions in the Middle East may be easing. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey told BBC News on Thursday […]

Trade of the day: GBPCHF (16.04.2026)

Facts Recommendation Source: xStation5 Opinion The GBPCHF sell-off triggered by the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East capped months of Sterling weakness, driven by growth concerns and expectations of UK rate cuts. Approximately one week after the US and Israeli strikes on Iran, the pair initiated an upward trajectory. This shift is supported by […]

Currency Talk – USDJPY, EURNZD, NZDUSD (16.04.2026)

Key takeaways The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse. Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. USDJPY USDJPY has been […]

EUR/USD stands above 1.1800 amid hopes of new peace talks in Iran

The (EUR) edges up against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, trading right above 1.1800 at the time of writing, on track for a nine-day rally. Hopes of a new round of negotiations between the US and Iran have prompted investors to move away from the safe-haven Dollar, propelling the pair to pre-war levels. US […]

GBP gains against its peers as UK GDP data beats estimates

The Pound Sterling (GBP) attracts bids against its major currency peers, trading 0.14% higher to near 1.3580 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday after the release of the stronger-than-projected United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for February. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) has reported that economy […]

UK GDP climbs by 0.5% MoM in February vs. 0.1% expected

The UK Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew 0.5% MoM in February, following a 0% reported in January, the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Thursday. The market forecast was for a 0.1% rise in the same period. Meanwhile, the Index of services (February) rose 0.5% 3M/3M versus January’s 0.2%. Other data […]

EUR/JPY – Weakens to near 187.50, while staying bullish above 100-day EMA

The EUR/JPY cross trades with mild losses near 187.50 during the early European session on Thursday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens against the Euro (EUR) amid intervention fears from Japanese authorities. Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Thursday that she told the G7 to closely watch forex moves. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) is expected to raise […]

USD/JPY – Bounces off one-week low, defends trading range support near 158.25

The USD/JPY cross attracts fresh sellers following the previous day’s modest rise and drops to over a one-week low, around the 158.25 region during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices, however, manage to recover a few pips in the last hour and currently trade around the 158.70 area, down over 0.15% for the day. […]

EUR/CAD holds losses near 1.6200 as Canadian Dollar gains on risk-on mood

EUR/CAD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 1.6200 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency cross depreciates as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from easing Middle East conflict. However, the commodity-linked CAD may come under pressure from softer oil prices. It is worth noting that Canada is the largest crude […]

Offshore Yuan Hits Over 3-Year High

The offshore yuan edged higher to above 6.81 per USD, hitting its highest in more than three years as stronger-than-expected growth in China’s economy boosted sentiment. The world’s second-largest economy grew 0.5% in the first quarter from a year ago, accelerating from the 4.5% gain in the prior quarter and beating forecasts. However, signs of […]

CAD strengthens as risk-on mood weighs on US Dollar

USD/CAD loses ground for the fourth successive day, trading around 1.3730 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) continues to lose ground on improved market sentiment, driven by expectations of a potential de-escalation in the Middle East conflict. US President Donald Trump stated that the war was “close to […]

AUD holds gains after mixed Australian, Chinese data

The AUD/USD pair holds positive ground around 0.7180 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) strengthens against the Greenback amid mixed economic data from Australian and Chinese dockets.  Data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday showed that Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.3% in March. The figure came in line with […]

NZD/USD remains stronger above 0.5900 as China’s economy expands in Q1

NZD/USD remains stronger for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.5920 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair remains stronger following China’s first-quarter Gross Domestic Product figures. China’s economic change could impact the NZD as a key trading partner for New Zealand. China’s economy expanded 1.3% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) in the first quarter (Q1) of […]

USD/CHF slumps to near 0.7800 as US Dollar extends decline amid Iran optimism

The USD/CHF pair trades 0.2% lower to near 0.7800 during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The Swiss Franc pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar (USD) continues to underperform amid increasing hopes that the United States (US) and Iran would reach a permanent ceasefire soon. During the press time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), […]

Currency Talk – EUR/AUD, EUR/GBP, AUD/USD (April 15, 2026)

This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse. Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. EURAUD The EURAUD […]

EUR/JPY steadies near 187.50 as improved oil prices weighs on Japanese Yen

EUR/JPY moves little after registering little losses in the previous day, trading around 187.30 during the early European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross maintains its gains as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure, reflecting Japan’s heavy dependence on Middle East oil imports, as oil prices pare daily losses. However, the JPY may receive […]

AUD/USD Price Looks likely to reclaim multi-year high of 0.7190

The Australian Dollar (AUD) outperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.23% higher to near 0.7137 against the US Dollar (USD), during the early European session on Wednesday. The antipodean trades firmly as the market sentiment is risk-on due to optimism towards a permanent ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran. Australian Dollar Price Today […]

USD/CHF sees more downside below 0.7800 as US-Iran talks to resume soon

The USD/CHF pair trades flat around 0.7812 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday, but is still close to its monthly low of 0.7790 posted the previous day. The Swiss Franc pair faces selling pressure as the US Dollar (USD) underperforms its peers amid optimism that the United States (US) and Iran could reach a […]

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Defends 200-SMA support on H4; bulls seem hesitant near 159.00

The USD/JPY pair once again shows some resilience below the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and edges higher during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, lack bullish conviction and struggle to capitalize on the strength beyond the 159.00 mark. Despite the optimism over Iran diplomacy, economic concerns stemming from […]

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Steadies below 1.1800 near eight-week highs

EUR/USD remains calm after halting its seven-day winning streak, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates a bullish bias, as the pair is moving upwards within an ascending channel. The EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish near-term bias as spot holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving […]

EUR/USD holds near 1.1800 due to rising optimism on US-Iran talks

EUR/USD remains flat after seven days of gains, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair may extend its gains as the US Dollar (USD) weakened amid rising optimism that the United States (US) and Iran could soon resume negotiations, boosting hopes for a deal to end the conflict and reopen the […]

JPY bulls seem hesitant despite Iran diplomacy hopes; USD/JPY trades below 159.00

The USD/JPY pair is seen consolidating the previous day’s losses and oscillating in a narrow band below the 159.00 mark during the Asian session on Wednesday. Spot prices, however, remain confined in a broader trading range held over the past month or so, warranting some caution before placing aggressive directional bets amid mixed cues. Despite […]

AUD gains support from US–Iran talks optimism

AUD/USD gains ground for the third successive day, trading around 0.7120 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) receives support from improved market sentiment due to the potential for further United States (US)-Iran talks. The New York Post reported that US President Donald Trump signaled negotiations could resume this week, […]

USD/CAD gains ground above 1.3700 while outlook remains uncertain amid Iran optimism

The USD/CAD pair trades slightly higher to near 1.3780 during the European trading session on Wednesday. The Loonie pair gained a temporary ground after posting a fresh three-week low near 1.3730 on Tuesday; however, the outlook remains uncertain amid hopes that the United States (US) and Iran could reach a permanent ceasefire soon. Earlier in the day, US President […]

Trade of The Day – EUR/USD

Facts: Recommendation: View: From a technical perspective, EUR/USD has re-entered an upward trend, but the rebound—driven by growing optimism around a potential resolution of the U.S.–Iran conflict—has been unusually sharp. At the same time, conditions in global energy markets—on which Europe is more dependent than the U.S remain challenging. IEA President Fatih Birol indicated that […]

Currency Talk – GBP/USD, GBP/JPY USD/CHF

This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where a reversal might occur.Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. GBPUSDGBPUSD prices have […]

Australian Dollar edges lower despite reinforced hawkish RBA bias

AUD/USD retreats after posting modest gains in the previous session, trading around 0.7090 during Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair could regain traction as the Australian Dollar (AUD) may draw support from a reinforced hawkish bias by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), driven by persistent energy-led inflation pressures. RBA Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser cautioned that […]

EUR/USD climbs to 1.1765-1.1770, highest since March as Iran diplomacy hopes undermine USD

The EUR/USD pair is seen building on the previous day’s strong intraday move up of over 100 pips and gaining some follow-through traction during the Asian session on Tuesday. This marks the eighth straight day of a positive move and lifts spot prices to a fresh high since early March, around the 1.1765-1.1770 region in the […]

JPY strengthens to 159.00 against USD; bulls lack conviction amid Hormuz risks

The USD/JPY pair is seen extending the previous day’s modest pullback from the 159.85 region and drifting lower during the Asian session on Tuesday. Spot prices drop to the 159.00 mark in the last hour, though the downside potential seems limited amid mixed fundamental cues. Despite failed US-Iran peace talks over the weekend, investors seem […]

Canadian Dollar remains stronger as risk-on mood weighs on US Dollar

USD/CAD remains subdued for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.3790 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) struggles amid eased risk aversion following reports that the United States (US) and Iran may hold further talks to secure a longer-term ceasefire before the current two-week truce ends. US President Donald […]

NZD/USD treads water above 0.5850 following China’s Trade Balance data

NZD/USD inches lower after registering 0.5% gains in the previous day, trading around 0.5860 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains subdued following the release of China’s Trade Balance data for March. It is important to note that any change in the Chinese economy could impact the NZD as China and New Zealand […]

EUR/CAD caps near 1.6200 as Euro struggles due to risk-off mood

EUR/CAD holds position after paring its intraday losses, trading around 1.6200 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the currency cross still remains in the negative territory as the Euro (EUR) struggles amid increased risk aversion after the failure of the United States (US)-Iran peace talks. US Vice President JD Vance confirmed the US–Iran talks in Islamabad ended without […]

AUD/JPY hovers around 112.50 after paring latest losses

AUD/JPY pares its daily losses but remains in the negative territory, trading around 112.40 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency cross faced challenges as the Australian Dollar (AUD) weakened as risk aversion increased after US Vice President JD Vance said Washington and Tehran failed to reach a peace agreement in Islamabad following 21 hours of […]

USD/CHF holds gains near 0.7925 as failed US-Iran talks and inflation fears support USD

The USD/CHF pair kicks off the new week on a positive note and recovers further from a nearly three-week low, around the 0.7855 area, touched on Friday. Spot prices, for now, seem to have snapped a five-day losing streak and currently trade around the 0.7925 region, up 0.50% for the day, amid a broadly firmer US […]

EUR/JPY holds losses near 186.50 as US–Iran talks fail

EUR/JPY pares its daily losses but remains in the negative territory, trading around 186.60 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency cross faced challenges as the risk-sensitive Euro (EUR) lost ground following the failure of the United States (US)-Iran peace talks. US Vice President JD Vance confirmed that the US–Iran talks in Islamabad ended […]

USD/JPY – Price Strength beyond 160.00 awaited amid bullish technical setup

The USD/JPY pair builds on gains from the past two days and opens with a bullish gap at the start of the new week, rising to the 159.85 region during the Asian session. However, intervention fears keep a lid on any further appreciation for spot prices. Failed US-Iran peace talks trigger a fresh wave of […]

EUR/USD Price Rebounds to near 1.1700 as bullish bias prevails

EUR/USD edges higher after opening at a gap down, trading around 1.1690 during the Asian hours on Monday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates a bullish bias, as the pair is rising within an ascending channel. The EUR/USD pair holds a modest bullish bias as it stays above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages […]

CAD pares losses vs USD as rallying oil prices counter hawkish Fed bets

The USD/CAD pair retreats a few pips from the Asian session high and currently trades around the 1.3860-1.3855 region, up around 0.15% for the day. Meanwhile, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants caution before positioning for an extension of a modest recovery from sub-1.3800 levels, or over a two-week low set on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) struggles […]

Offshore Yuan Snaps 6-Session Winning Streak

The offshore yuan weakened to around 6.83 per dollar on Monday, snapping a six-session winning streak, as the greenback strengthened broadly after US–Iran peace talks ended without a breakthrough. The face-to-face negotiations between the two countries’ delegations concluded with both sides acknowledging that significant differences remain. Vice President JD Vance reiterated the lack of progress, […]

Scenario Analysis – What to expect from weekend peace talks

Markets are in a jubilant mood as we lead up to the weekend. Spurred by a milder March reading of US inflation than expected, rate cut expectations are building, and stocks are rallying. Headline CPI in the US rose at a 3.4% annual rate, a hefty jump from the 2.4% rate in February, but lower […]

USD/MXN Rises on Weak Dollar

The Mexican peso strengthened 0.3% on Friday, trading around 17.31 as markets focused on geopolitical developments, including US–Iran negotiations. Uncertainty in the Middle East, particularly risks around the Strait of Hormuz, continues to support a geopolitical risk premium. The US dollar remains under pressure as US inflation stays broadly in line with expectations and the […]

Currency Talk – GBP/USD, AUD/NZD, USD/CHF

This analysis from the Overbalance series aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis relies solely on the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine points where a trend may continue or where a reversal might occur.Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. GBPUSDThe […]

CAD declines as oil prices ease, US Dollar gains

USD/CAD gains ground after four days of losses, trading around 1.3820 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair appreciates as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) struggles amid lower oil prices, given Canada’s status as the largest crude exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price holds losses after experiencing volatility, trading […]

EUR/JPY Price Eyes upper ascending channel boundary near 186.50

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 186.10 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross is trending higher within an ascending channel, signaling a persistent bullish bias. The EUR/JPY cross extends its advance above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving […]

USD/CHF Softens to near 0.7900 with rangebound tone ahead of US CPI release

The USD/CHF pair loses ground to near 0.7905 during the early European session on Friday. A fragile two-week ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran provides some support to a safe-haven currency such as the Swiss Franc (CHF) against the US Dollar (USD).  Ahead of the US and Iran talks in Pakistan, Israel continues to bombard Lebanon after killing […]

EUR/USD – Bears seem hesitant as breakout above 1.1670 remains in play

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its weekly gains registered over the past four days and trades with a mild negative bias below the 1.1700 mark during the Asian session on Friday. The downside, however, remains cushioned amid the lack of any meaningful US Dollar (USD) buying and ahead of the US consumer inflation […]

Sterling remains depressed vs USD; GBP/USD holds above 1.3400 as traders await US CPI

The GBP/USD pair drifts lower during the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks follow-through selling and remains close to its highest level since late February, set earlier this week. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3420-1.3415 region and seem poised to register strong weekly gains as investors now look to the latest US consumer inflation figures […]

AUD/USD Rally pauses as RSI (14) struggles to extend above 60.00

The AUD/USD pair is down 0.23% to near 0.7065 in the late Asian trading session, struggling to extend its winning streak for the fifth trading day on Friday. The Aussie pair comes under pressure as the Australian Dollar (AUD) underperforms amid uncertainty surrounding the first round of talks between the United States (US) and Iran […]

Offshore Yuan Weakens, Still Set for Weekly Gain

The offshore yuan edged lower to around 6.83 per dollar, ending a five-session winning streak, after the People’s Bank of China reaffirmed its cautious monetary easing stance, even as consumer inflation slowed and producer prices rebounded. Annual consumer inflation slowed more than expected to 1% in March 2026 from 1.3% in February, as the seasonal […]

Currency Talk – EUR/CAD NZD/USD, USD/JPY

The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse.Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. EURCADAt the end of March, EURCAD prices […]

Yuan Holds Firm at 3-Year Peak

The offshore yuan held above 6.83 per USD, pausing near an over three-year high as investors weighed a fragile US–Iran ceasefire. The agreement, tied to a 10-point proposal and contingent on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, initially boosted risk appetite and weakened the dollar. However, sentiment turned cautious after fresh accusations from Iran of violations, […]

EUR/USD – Bulls await break above 200-SMA/38.2% Fibo. confluence near 1.1670

The EUR/USD pair finds some support near the 1.1650 region during the Asian session on Thursday, and for now, seems to have stalled the previous day’s late pullback from over a one-month high. The US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish outlook, signaling that it still sees one interest rate cut this year if inflation declines in line […]

JPY moves away from three-week top as tenuous US-Iran ceasefire benefits USD

The USD/JPY pair builds on the previous day’s modest bounce from sub-158.00 levels, or a nearly three-week low, and gains some positive traction during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices climb back closer to the 159.00 mark in the last hour and draw support from a combination of factors. Investors turned skeptical about the […]

AUD declines due to fading optimism surrounding US-Iran ceasefire

AUD/USD snaps a three-day winning streak, trading near 0.7030 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The risk-sensitive pair weakens as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure amid fading optimism, with reports suggesting the 10-point framework lacks full commitment from both sides, leaving the deal fragile and incomplete. However, the Middle East conflict, now in its […]

CAD slips as USD safe-haven bid offsets oil rebound

USD/CAD gains ground after three days of losses, trading around 1.3860 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) receives support from renewed safe-haven demand amid uncertainty surrounding the ceasefire agreement between the United States (US) and Iran. The Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) March meeting, released on Wednesday, […]

NZD/USD gathers strength above 0.5800 on RBNZ hawkish hold

The NZD/USD pair gains ground to near 0.5830 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) following a hawkish pause from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). As widely expected, New Zealand’s central bank decided to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) steady at 2.25% […]

GBP/USD Price – Strives to hold key 20-day EMA

The Pound Sterling trades in a tight range around 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The GBP/USD pair consolidates as investors doubt over the sustainability of the ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran on early Wednesday in the wake of continued attacks by Israel on Iran-backed Hezbollah in […]

Trade of The Day – CHF/JPY

Facts:The pair reached the lower limit of 1:1 structure at 199.45Main trend on the pair remains upward from March 2025 Recommendation: Trade: Long position on CHFJPY at market priceTarget: 203.68, 205.65Stop: 197.58  Opinion: Looking at CHFJPY chart, one can observe that the price bounced off the key technical support today. This support is marked with the lower […]

War-Related Shifts in The Forex Market – USD Plumets, AUD, NDZ and CHF Rebound

The two-week suspension of U.S. military operations against Iran triggered a sharp shake-up in the FX market today, reversing much of the movement seen in recent weeks. Across a broad range of currencies, cyclical currencies are the most actively bought, with the NZD, SEK, and ZAR leading the way, while the USD and CAD are […]

NZD/USD – Hawkish RBNZ Decision And TACO Trade Support The NZD

NZDUSD gained as much as 2.00% following the RBNZ decision, supported both by the more hawkish tone of the central bank and the global move after the de-escalation of US–Iran tensions. The kiwi reached around 0.5844 (currently 0.5824). Investors interpreted the decision as a hawkish pause. The RBNZ emphasized that if inflationary pressure spreads beyond energy and […]

JPY surges against US Dollar as Trump confirms two-week ceasefire

The Japanese Yen (JPY) trades significantly higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, with the USD/JPY pair sliding 0.75% to near 158.40 during the Asian trading session. The pair faces intense selling pressure as demand for safe-haven assets has diminished, following the announcement of a two-week ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran. […]

GBP advances as US-Iran ceasefire improves market sentiment

GBP/USD extends its winning streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.3400 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) declines on decreased safe-haven demand after the United States (US) and Iran agreed on a two-week ceasefire. However, the GBP/USD pair’s upside may be limited as the Pound Sterling […]

Offshore Yuan Rallies to Over 3-Year High

The offshore yuan strengthened to around 6.82 per dollar on Wednesday, continuing its upward momentum for a fourth consecutive session and reaching its highest level since February 2023, primarily driven by a pressured greenback following a ceasefire announcement. President Donald Trump revealed that the US and Iran had reached a two-week ceasefire agreement, narrowly averting […]

EUR/USD – Rises above 1.1650, moving averages amid bullish reversal

EUR/USD extends its winning streak for the third successive day, trading around 1.1670 during Asian hours on Wednesday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates a bullish reversal as the pair is rising above the descending channel pattern. The EUR/USD pair has rebounded above the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), framing a tentative bullish bias […]

NZD/USD sticks to gains near two-week top, around 0.5800 after RBNZ leaves rates unchanged

The NZD/USD pair turns positive for the third straight day following a modest Asian session dip to the 0.5700 mark and rallies to a nearly two-week top on Wednesday in reaction to the US-Iran ceasefire news. Spot prices stick to strong intraday gains above the 0.5800 mark and move little following the Reserve Bank of New Zealand […]

AUD/JPY Gains momentum, bullish bias prevails above 100-day EMA

The AUD/JPY cross gathers strength to around 111.80 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) amid improved risk sentiment. US President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he had agreed “to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks” […]

Trade of The Day – GBP/AUD

Facts:The price bounced off the upper limit of 1:1 structure at 1.9255GBPAUD sits below the 100-period moving average form H4 interval Recommendation: Trade: Short position on GBPAUD at market priceTarget: 1.8765, 1.8518Stop: 1.9475 Opinion: Looking at the GBPAUD chart at the H4 interval, one can see that the price bounced off the key resistance today. The price […]

EUR/USD hits one-week highs beyond 1.1570 highs as sentiment brightens

The Euro (EUR) has brushed off previous weakness to extend its recovery against the US Dollar (USD) to reach fresh weekly highs above 1.1570 on Tuesday’s European morning session. The market sentiment has improved, with European equities turning positive after a negative opening, and Eurozone services activity revised up, which has provided some support for the common currency. […]

EUR/GBP approaches 0.8700 lows following Eurozone and UK services data

The Euro (EUR) extends losses against the British Pound (GBP) for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, approaching the bottom of its near-term horizontal range at 0.8700, from Monday’s highs at 0.8735. The pair has been unfazed by the moderate upward revision of the Eurozone’s HCOB Services Purchasing Managers’ Index figures, which were revised up on Tuesday. […]

Commodity Talk – Oil, Natgas, Gold and Cocoa

Oil: New production quotas for countries in the agreement on voluntary production cuts. It is worth noting that countries like Iraq, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and also Russia have significantly reduced their production volumes recently. Source: OPEC ​​​​​​​Oil is currently in a zone of strong supply and is no longer reacting as dynamically as […]

AUD/USD Wobbles around 0.6900 ahead of Iran’s response to Trump’s ultimatum

The AUD/USD pair trades in a tight range around 0.6900 during the early European trading session on Tuesday. The Aussie pair consolidates as investors await Tehran’s response to United States (US) President Donald Trump’s warning to destroy Iranian power plants and bridges if it doesn’t reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday, 08:00 PM ET. Market sentiment […]

EUR/GBP steadies above 0.8700 amid ECB hawkish tone

The EUR/GBP cross trades on a flat note around 0.8720 during the early European session on Tuesday. Traders will take more cues from the Eurozone Retail Sales and German inflation data, which are due later this week. These reports could offer some cues about the European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate path this year. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) could receive some support […]

USD/INR edges lower at open ahead of Trump’s Iran deadline

The Indian Rupee (INR) ticks up against the US Dollar (USD) in the opening trade on Tuesday. The USD/INR pair edges down to near 93.00, while it is expected to remain range bound as investors stay on sidelines ahead of United States (US) President Donald Trump’s ultimatum to Iran either to reopen the Strait of Hormuz or […]

NZD/USD weakens to near 0.5700 amid Middle East tensions, traders await RBNZ rate decision

The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers to around 0.5700 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as heightened uncertainty in the Middle East boosts demand for a safe-haven currency.  US President Donald Trump said on Monday that freedom of navigation through the Strait of Hormuz would […]

EUR/JPY Holds steady but maintains bullish bias above 100-day EMA support

The EUR/JPY cross holds steady near 184.35 during the early European session on Tuesday. However, the potential upside for the cross might be limited as ongoing tensions between the United States (US) and Iran could boost a safe-haven currency such as the Japanese Yen (JPY). On the other hand, the hawkish tone of the European […]

GBP weakens as safe-haven demand lifts US Dollar

GBP/USD pares its recent gains from the previous day, trading around 1.3220 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains ground amid increased risk aversion, which could be attributed to the Middle East peace truce uncertainty. US President Donald Trump said on Monday that the latest proposal for a US […]

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Consolidates around 1.1530 in countdown to Trump’s deadline

The EUR/USD pair ticks marginally lower around 1.1530 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, but is broadly sideways, wobbling inside Monday’s trading range. The major currency pair consolidates while investors await Iran’s final decision on the ceasefire proposal by the United States (US), which has a deadline of Tuesday, 08:00 PM ET. As of writing, […]

USD/CNH rises to near 6.8800 due to safe-haven demand

USD/CNH gains ground after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 6.8800 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) holds gains on increased safe-haven demand ahead of further developments on the Iran deadline by US President Donald Trump to open the Strait of Hormuz. President Trump […]

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3240 as Iran hopes dent US Dollar

The British Pound (GBP) advances by over 0.40% on Monday as US President Donald Trump said the Tuesday deadline he has set for Iran to make a deal is final, while rumors of a possible de-escalation weighed on the US Dollar (USD). GBP/USD trades around the 1.3240 figure at the time of writing. Sterling gains as ceasefire […]

USD/CAD edges lower as shifting US-Iran headlines keep markets cautious

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) gains traction against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as traders react to evolving geopolitical developments in the US-Iran war. At the time of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.1315, hovering near four-month highs. Risk appetite improved earlier in the Asian session following reports of a potential 45-day ceasefire between the US and […]

GBP/JPY Price Analysis – Pound recovery hits resistance at 211.45

The Pound (GBP) is trading higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Monday, favoured by a moderate optimism amid news of a peace plan to end the war in Iran. The pair, however, remains capped below the 211.45 resistance area so far, although technical indicators are popping up into bullish territory. News that  Iran and the […]

EUR/GBP – Supported by converging SMAs but capped below 0.8750

EUR/GBP trades with a negative bias on Monday as diplomatic efforts to end the US-Iran war lift market sentiment and support risk-sensitive currencies, with the British Pound (GBP) relatively outperforming the Euro (EUR). At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8720, though it lacks strong follow-through selling and remains confined near the upper end of last week’s […]

Offshore Yuan Extends Gains

The offshore yuan strengthened to around 6.87 per dollar on Monday, extending gains from the previous week in thin holiday trading, even as geopolitical risks remained elevated. Tensions in the Middle East continue to cloud market sentiment, with US allies such as Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey reportedly working to broker a roughly 45-day ceasefire aimed […]

EUR/USD Price – Symmetrical Triangle formation near bottom triggers reversal hopes

The EUR/USD pair trades 0.4% higher to near 1.1560 during the European trading session on Monday. The major currency pair strengthens as market sentiment turns favorable toward riskier assets, such as the Euro (EUR), following confirmation from Iran that it has received the United States’ (US) ceasefire proposal through Pakistan. An improvement in investors’ risk appetite […]

EUR/GBP eases to levels near 0.8700 amid mild risk-off markets

The Euro (EUR) is trading lower against the British Pound (GBP) on a calm week opening, with most markets closed on Easter Monday, and markets wary of risk, amid greater concerns about an escalation of the war in Iran. The pair is trading at 0.8720 at the time of writing, down from session highs at 0.8735, yet still […]

NZD/USD rebounds from four-month low; retakes 0.5700 as ceasefire talks weigh on USD

The NZD/USD pair attracts some buyers near the 0.5680 region, or over a four-month trough retested during the Asian session on Monday, and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak. Spot prices currently trade just above the 0.5700 mark, up nearly 0.25% for the day, though the upside potential seems limited. Bloomberg, citing […]

EUR/USD inches higher above 1.1500 amid hopes on US-Iran ceasefire talks

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.1520 during the early European session on Monday. The Euro (EUR) strengthens against the Greenback amid optimism about the US-Iran ceasefire. The US March ISM Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) report is due later on Monday.  Bloomberg reported on Monday, citing Axios, that the US, Iran, and regional mediators are discussing […]

GBP/USD Retakes 1.3200; bearish bias persists amid geopolitical risks

The GBP/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers near the 1.3175 region during the Asian session on Monday, and for now, seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak. Spot prices climb back above the 1.3200 mark in the last hour, though any meaningful appreciation still seems elusive amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. Bloomberg, citing Axios, reported that the […]

USD/CHF holds gains above 0.8000 despite reports of US-Iran ceasefire talks

USD/CHF extends its winning streak for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.8010 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair appreciated as the US Dollar (USD) gained ground amid increased safe-haven demand on heightened uncertainty in the Middle East. However, the Greenback’s upside may be limited after reports that the United States (US), Iran, […]

CAD remains depressed against a firmer USD; bullish Oil prices limit losses

The USD/CAD pair attracts some buyers for the third consecutive day on Monday and trades just below mid-1.3900s during the Asian session, well within striking distance of a nearly four-month high set last week amid a firmer US Dollar (USD). The uptick, however, lacks bullish conviction as elevated Crude Oil prices could underpin the commodity-linked Loonie and […]

AUD/JPY Price Forecast: Gains ground above 110.00 as mild bullish bias persists

The AUD/JPY cross attracts some buyers to near 110.20 during the Asian trading hours on Monday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) edges higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on expectations of further interest rate hikes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).  However, the upside for the cross might be limited as escalating tensions in the […]

EUR/JPY remains below 184.00 as traders price in BoJ rate hike odds

EUR/JPY moves little after registering modest losses in the previous trading day, hovering around 183.80 during the Asian hours on Monday. The currency cross may extend its decline as the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthens on growing expectations that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will tighten policy in April to counter rising inflation driven by higher […]

USD/JPY Continues to hold 20-day EMA amid fears of Middle East war escalation

The USD/JPY pair trades marginally down at around 159.55 during the Asian trading session on Monday. The pair shows a subdued performance as the US Dollar (USD) ticks lower, while broadly remaining firm due to threats from United States (US) President Donald Trump that he will destroy Iranian infrastructure if it doesn’t agree to a […]

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Tests nine-day EMA after breaking above 0.6900

AUD/USD holds gains after two days of losses, trading around 0.6910 during the Asian hours on Monday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates that the pair remains within a descending wedge pattern, suggesting that selling pressure is gradually weakening as lower highs and lower lows converge. This structure often reflects a loss of bearish […]

Trade of The Day – AUD/JPY

Facts: Pair bounced off the lower limit of the 1:1 structure at 109.80The main sentiment remains bullish from April 2025 Recommendation: Trade: Long AUDJPY at market priceTarget: 113.45Stop: 108.80 Opinion: Looking at the D1 interval on AUDJPY chart, one can see that the price bounced off the key support. The support is marked with the lower limit of […]

EUR/GBP Analysis – Euro stalls below the 0.8740 resistance area

EUR/GBP’s reversal from one-month highs at 0.8740 found support above 0.8700 earlier this week, before stalling halfway through the last few days’ range around 0.8720. Technical indicators show waning bullish momentum, while thinned market volumes suggest that further consolidation is the most likely outcome on Friday. The Euro (EUR) remains on track for a nearly […]

EUR/JPY Price Gathers strength to near 184.00, bullish bias persists above 100-day EMA

The EUR/JPY cross gathers strength around 184.15 during the early European session on Friday. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good Friday holiday. Meanwhile, hawkish remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers provide some support to the Euro (EUR) against the Japanese Yen (JPY). ECB Governing Council member Francois Villeroy de Galhau said on Thursday that the […]

USD/CHF stays near 0.8000 due thin trading on Good Friday

USD/CHF remains steady after registering over 0.5% gains in the previous day, trading around 0.7980 during the Asian hours. The pair moves little as trading activity may remain subdued due to the Good Friday holiday. The US Dollar (USD) holds firm against is major peers amid rising safe-haven demand following the recent Iran threats from […]

GBP/USD Rebounds toward 1.3250 near nine-day EMA

GBP/USD holds gains after registering over 0.5% losses in the previous day, trading around 1.3230 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair remains within the descending channel pattern. The near-term bias stays mildly bearish as the GBP/USD pair holds below both the nine-day […]

USD/CAD holds gains above 1.3900 with all eyes on US jobs data

The US Dollar (USD) keeps the upper hand against its Canadian counterpart on Friday, trading near 1.3925 at the moment of writing, with the 1.3966 year-to-date high at a relatively short distance. The pair is on track for its third consecutive weekly rally, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) weighed by the risk-off sentiment stemming from […]

Australian Dollar gains traction ahead of US jobs report

The AUD/USD pair gains ground near 0.6900 during the early European trading hours on Friday. Hawkish tone from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) underpins the Australian Dollar (AUD) against the Greenback. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good Friday holiday. Traders will keep an eye on the US March jobs report later […]

JPY flat lines amid persistent tensions in the Middle East

The USD/JPY pair trades on a flat note near 159.60 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good Friday holiday. All eyes will be on the US March Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which will be published later on Friday.  Heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East […]

NZD/USD declines to near 0.5700 on weak Chinese PMI, US NFP data looms.

The NZD/USD pair extends the decline to a near four-month low around 0.5710 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) softens against the US Dollar (USD) on the downbeat Chinese economic data and heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Trading volumes are likely to be thin due to the Good […]

GBP edges higher as traders price in two BoE rate hike odds

GBP/USD inches higher after registering modest losses in the previous day, trading around 1.3230 during the Asian hours on Friday. Trading activity may remain subdued due to the Good Friday holiday. The Pound Sterling (GBP) receives some support as markets are pricing in two Bank of England rate hikes in 2026 amid rising energy prices […]

U.S. Dollar Index holds gains near 100.00 as traders focus on US jobs data and Iran conflict

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.00 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The DXY holds positive ground amid fresh concerns over a prolonged conflict in the Middle East. All eyes will be on the US […]

EUR/USD – Remains below nine-day EMA near 1.1550

EUR/USD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 1.1540 during Asian hours on Friday. The daily chart technical analysis indicates a potential bullish reversal as the pair is testing the upper boundary of the descending channel pattern. However, the near-term bias stays mildly bearish as price holds below both the nine-day and 50-day […]

Offshore Yuan Set for Weekly Gains

The offshore yuan edged higher to around 6.88 per dollar on Friday, trimming gains from the previous session as market sentiment improved on growing hopes for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Iran and Oman are said to be developing a protocol to “monitor transit” through the strategic waterway, a move aimed at easing […]

Trade of The Day – EUR/USD

Facts: Recommendation:  Trade: Short position on the EUR/USD pair at market price Take Profit 1: 1.14425 Take Profit 2: 1.14115 Stop: 1.16360  Opinion: From a technical perspective, the EURUSD pair remains in a structural downtrend, which is a key argument for maintaining short positions.  The price consistently remains below the 200-, 100-, and 50-day exponential […]

Currency Talk – USDJPY, NZDUSD, USDCHF

The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse. Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. USDJPYSince February 12, the USDJPY has […]

Chart of The Day – Oil Rebounds Sharply

Brent crude is surging back above $100 per barrel (OIL: +7.6%), erasing nearly all losses from the last three sessions. Donald Trump’s address failed to outline any concrete “exit strategies” for the conflict, and his hawkish tone undermined market optimism that had previously bet on a rebound following Iran’s declarations of being ready for peace talks. […]

EUR/GBP Analysis – Euro stands tall above 0.8700 in risk-off markets

EUR/GBP’s reversal from one-month highs at 0.8740 found buyers right above 0.08700 on Wednesday, and the pair has trimmed losses on Thursday, returning to the 0.8720 area at the time of writing. The Euro (EUR) seems to be faring better than the British Pound (GBP) amid the risk-averse market mood, and keeps the bullish bias from mid-March lows […]

Sterling Slides as Trump’s Address Deepens Middle East Uncertainty

The British pound slipped toward $1.32, nearing its lowest point since late November, as investor caution resurfaced after President Donald Trump’s prime-time address provided no clear end in sight for the Middle East conflict. Trump affirmed that the US operation was nearly complete but vowed escalated actions, including possible strikes on electrical plants, over the […]

Euro Dips as Trump’s Address Fuels Middle East Uncertainty

The euro retreated toward $1.15 as investor caution returned following President Donald Trump’s prime-time address, which offered no clear timeline for resolving the Middle East conflict. While Trump stated that the US operation was nearing completion, he also vowed more aggressive measures, including possible strikes on electrical plants, over the next two to three weeks. […]

EUR/JPY Tests nine-day EMA support after easing below 184.00

EUR/JPY depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 183.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the currency cross is moving sideways within an ascending triangle pattern, indicating consolidation. However, the structure reflects rising support levels meeting a relatively flat resistance zone, signaling building pressure that could […]

USD/CHF rises above 0.7950 ahead of Swiss CPI inflation data

The USD/CHF pair jumps to around 0.7985 during the early European session on Thursday. The Greenback strengthens against the Swiss Franc (CHF) following an address to the nation by US President Donald Trump. Traders will keep an eye on the Swiss March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is due later on Thursday.  Trump said during a […]

Offshore Yuan Snaps 3-Session Gains

The offshore yuan weakened to around 6.88 per dollar, ending a three-day winning streak as the greenback gained strength amid mounting uncertainties over a possible easing of the Middle East conflict. The US dollar rose as investors pared back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, amid concerns that a surge in oil prices driven by […]

Rupee Falls on Outflows, Trump Speech

The Indian rupee edged down to around 93.2 per dollar, extending gains for another session amid persistent capital outflows and heightened geopolitical tensions. The currency has been under pressure from spillovers of the Iran war, prompting the Reserve Bank of India to step up measures against arbitrage and forward contract manipulation. After an earlier crackdown […]

WTI rallies back closer to $99.00 as Trump’s comments dampen Iran de-escalation hopes

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude Oil prices catch aggressive bids during the Asian session on Thursday and surge past the $97.00 mark as US President Donald Trump’s prime-time address gets underway. The commodity now seems to have snapped a two-day losing streak to a one-week low, around mid-$92.00s, touched the previous day. Trump reiterated the […]

AUD slips despite February Trade Surplus more than doubles

AUD/USD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 0.6900 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair weakens as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure despite robust trade data, with Australia’s Trade Surplus more than doubling in February to its highest level in seven months, supported by strong gains in gold and agricultural exports, while […]

JPY softens after Trump Iran war remarks

The USD/JPY pair gains momentum to near 159.20 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Japanese Yen (JPY) following US President Donald Trump’s speech from the White House.  Trump said on Thursday that the US is “systemically dismantling the regime’s ability to threaten America or project power outside […]

GBP weakens as USD rallies after Trump’s address to the nation

The GBP/USD pair meets fresh supply during the Asian session on Thursday. It retreats further from the weekly high, which was around the 1.3345 area touched the previous day. Spot prices decline to the mid-1.3200s after US President Donald Trump’s comments. These comments stall a two-day recovery move from a four-month low set on Tuesday. […]

NZD/USD declines below 0.5750 as Iran conflict supports US Dollar

The NZD/USD pair tumbles to near 0.5725 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The US Dollar (USD) edges higher against the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) as market caution persists due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which boosts safe-haven demand.  US President Donald Trump said on Thursday that he expects the war with Iran to […]

CAD declines as Trump remarks lift US Dollar

USD/CAD rebounds after two days of losses, trading around 1.3900 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens after US President Donald Trump’s latest address showed no clear Middle East de-escalation, keeping geopolitical risk elevated. US President Donald Trump reiterated that Iran’s military capabilities have been significantly weakened, noting […]

EUR/USD Price Declines below 1.1550 as Trump’s Iran war update boosts USD

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on its gains registered over the past two days, reaching the weekly top the previous day, and attracts heavy selling during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices drop below the 1.1550 level in the last hour amid the emergence of fresh buying around the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) as […]

USD/CAD drifts lower as improving risk sentiment pressures US Dollar

USD/CAD trades with a softer tone on Wednesday, as a pullback in the US Dollar (USD) lends support to the Canadian Dollar (CAD). The pair is trading around 1.3891 at the time of writing, retreating after touching its highest level since December 2025 earlier this week. The US Dollar is under pressure as recent comments […]

EUR/USD edges higher as easing US-Iran tensions outweigh support from strong US data

EUR/USD extends its advance for a second consecutive day on Wednesday, climbing to one-week highs as improving optimism around the US-Iran war lifts risk sentiment, pushing the Euro (EUR) higher and weighing on the US Dollar (USD). At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.1611, up about 0.50% on the day after touching a […]

Geopolitics: Markets are pricing in the possibility of an end to the war

The dollar is weakening, while gold and bonds are gaining ground   Oil prices are falling – the market is pricing in an end to the war   European stock indices – gains almost across the board   European Manufacturing PMI – a pleasant surprise   Companies – What to Watch Today   The material […]

USD/INR tumbles at open as Middle East war de-escalates

The Indian Rupee (INR) opens higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday after a holiday due to the Shri Mahavir Jayanti the previous day. The USD/INR pair slumps to near 93.65 from the all-time high of 95.22 posted on Monday, as a significant de-escalation in the Middle East war, following comments from both the […]

AUD/USD – Middle East peace hopes back further recovery towards 20-day EMA

The AUD/USD pair gives back some of its early gains, but still trades 0.12% higher to near 0.6910 during the late Asian trading session on Wednesday. The Aussie pair extends Tuesday’s recovery move, as hopes of a ceasefire in the Middle East have strengthened after comments from both the United States (US) and Iran signaling […]

EUR/JPY Remains above 183.50 to test nine-day EMA barrier

EUR/JPY extends its gains for the second consecutive day, trading around 183.60 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests the currency cross moves sideways within the ascending triangle pattern, reflecting buying pressure. The near-term bias is mildly bullish as the EUR/PY cross holds above the 50-day Exponential Moving […]

EUR/USD Trades above mid-1.1500s as bulls await move beyond 61.8% Fibo.

The EUR/USD pair touches a one-week top on Wednesday, though it lacks follow-through buying and remains below the 1.1600 mark through the Asian session. Moreover, the mixed fundamental backdrop warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move. Despite the optimism over hopes for an early US exit from the Iran war, reports that […]

Offshore Yuan Steady Amid Peace Hopes

The offshore yuan stabilized around 6.88 per dollar on Wednesday, following significant gains in the previous session as optimism over a potential near-term resolution to the Middle East conflict dented demand for the greenback. US President Trump said American forces would end operations in Iran within two to three weeks, adding that Iran was “begging […]

CAD rises on oil rebound, Middle East de-escalation hopes

USD/CAD remains subdued for the second successive trading day, hovering around 1.3910 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The pair depreciates as the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar (CAD) receives support from higher oil prices, given Canada’s status as the largest crude exporter to the United States (US). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price rebounds after registering over […]

GBP edges higher as Middle East war de-escalates

The Pound Sterling (GBP) trades slightly higher against its major currency peers, rising 0.12% to near 1.3242, during the Asian trading session on Wednesday. The British currency gains as demand for riskier assets has improved, following the announcement from Iran that is willing to end the war with the United States (US). Pound Sterling Price […]

NZD/USD retreats from weekly top, slides to 0.5730 as Fed rate hike bets support USD

The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers following a modest Asian session rise to the 0.5760 area, or the weekly top, and stalls the previous day’s recovery move from over a four-month low. Spot prices slide to the 0.730 region in the last hour and seem vulnerable to prolonging the downtrend witnessed over the past two […]

US Dollar Index remains below 100.00 as Trump’s remarks improve risk appetite

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending its losses for the second successive day and hovering around 99.80 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The Greenback weakens amid fading safe-haven demand amid a moderation in Middle East tensions. US President Donald Trump […]

Currency Hedger – Future Talk

Most market participants are currently forced to factor the potential short-term development of the situation in Iran into asset pricing. The scale, objectives and time horizon of military operations on both sides will have a real impact on markets. One question must nevertheless be asked: no war lasts forever. What will happen once it ends? […]

USD/CAD rises to fresh three-month highs despite softer US Dollar

USD/CAD edges higher on Tuesday, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) extending its decline against the US Dollar (USD) for a seventh consecutive day, even as the Greenback eases. At the time of writing, the pair is trading around 1.3960, hovering near its highest level since December 2025. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s […]

EUR/GBP fluctuates as energy-led Eurozone inflation contrasts with fragile UK growth

EUR/GBP trades in a choppy range on Tuesday, as traders digest the latest economic data from both the United Kingdom and the Eurozone. At the time of writing, the cross is trading around 0.8691, rebounding after marking an intraday low of 0.8676. The latest Eurozone preliminary inflation data, the first since the escalation of tensions in the […]

Euro Drops Over 2% in March as Middle East Tensions Weigh

The euro closed March below $1.15, nearing its lowest point in nearly two weeks, after a volatile month marked by escalating tensions in the Middle East. The common currency lost over 2% against the dollar as traders assessed the economic impact of the deepening conflict. Adding to the uncertainty, a Wall Street Journal report revealed […]

Offshore Yuan Gains on Upbeat PMI Data

The offshore yuan edged higher to around 6.91 per dollar on Tuesday, extending modest gains from the previous session, supported by the unexpectedly strong return of expansion in PMI data. Official figures showed composite PMI rising to a three-month high of 50.5 in March 2026, signaling renewed growth across both sub-sectors. The manufacturing PMI rose […]

U.S Dollar Index (DXY) eases from YTD peak, trades below 100.50 on Iran de-escalation hopes

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, retreated from its highest level since May 2025, touched during the Asian session this Tuesday, snapping a five-day winning streak. The index, however, lacks follow-through selling amid contrasting headlines over peace talks to end the war in the Middle East and […]

AUD/USD Price – Consolidates around 0.6850 as bears await break below 100-day SMA

The AUD/USD pair seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses during the Asian session on Tuesday and consolidates its recent losses registered over the past week or so, to its lowest level in over two months, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around mid-0.6800s, nearly unchanged for the day, amid mixed fundamental cues. The Australian […]

USD/CHF struggles to extent winning streak on de-escalation in Middle East conflicts

The USD/CHF pair ticks lower to near 0.7985 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday, struggling to extend its five-day winning streak, as the US Dollar (USD) faces slight selling pressure on reports that United States (US) President Donald Trump is willing to make peace with Iran without forcing the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. […]

USD/JPY Price – Bulls struggle below 160.00 amid intervention fears, softer USD

The USD/JPY pair attracts fresh sellers following a modest Asian session uptick to the 160.00 neighborhood on Tuesday, though it manages to hold above the previous day’s swing low. Spot prices currently trade around the 159.70-159.75 region, unchanged for the day, as traders seem reluctant amid mixed fundamental cues. Against the backdrop of economic concerns […]

GBP/USD Price – Holds gains near 1.3200 despite persistent bearish bias

GBP/USD halts its five-day losing streak, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates an ongoing bearish bias, as the pair moves downwards within the descending channel pattern. The near-term bias stays mildly bearish as the GBP/USD pair holds below both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages […]

EUR/USD snaps five-day losing streak as Trump mulls ending Iran war

EUR/USD finds support near 1.1450 after snapping a five-day losing streak. US President Trump is willing to end the war with Iran, WSJ reported. Investors await flash Eurozone HICP data for March. The EUR/USD pair attracts bids after a five-day losing streak and edges higher to near 1.1475 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. The […]

USD/JPY retreats from intervention red line as Japan warns on Yen weakness

USD/JPY retreats on Monday and trades around 159.60 at the time of writing, down 0.44% on the day, after reaching a nearly 20-month high above 160.00 earlier in the day. The move lower follows renewed warnings from Japanese authorities about potential intervention in the foreign exchange market. The main catalyst behind the Japanese Yen’s (JPY) […]

GBP/USD dives to four-month lows as Middle East tensions lift the US Dollar

The British Pound (GBP) collapses on Monday as Middle East escalations push the US Dollar (USD) higher, while Oil prices extend their gains for the fourth consecutive trading day. At the time of writing, the GBP/USD trades at 1.3184, down by more than 0.50%, hitting a four-month low. Sterling sinks as oil rises, Fed bets ease, UK […]

Trade of The Day – AUD/NZD

Facts Recommendation Source: xStation5 Opinion AUDNZD recently underwent a correction triggered by a global decline in risk appetite and concerns regarding an economic slowdown in China. As China is highly dependent on Iranian oil, its trade ties with the Australian mining industry significantly influence the Australian dollar’s valuation. However, the downward move stalled at the […]

AUD/USD weakens on Middle East tensions as markets await RBA minutes

AUD/USD trades around 0.6860 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.21% on the day, as investors adopt a cautious stance amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Market sentiment remains fragile after Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen joined the conflict between Israel and Iran. Over the weekend, the militants launched missiles toward […]

Currency Talk – EUR/NZD, EUR/CAD, AUD/USD

The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse.Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. EURNZDLast week, the EURNZD broke through key […]

Euro Heads for Over 2% Monthly Loss as Middle East Risks Weigh

The euro held steady at $1.15 by the end of March, poised for a monthly decline of over 2% against the US dollar. Traders offloaded riskier assets as concerns mounted over the economic fallout from the escalating Middle East conflict, with reports suggesting thousands of US troops were preparing for a potential ground operation, despite […]

Sterling Nears 1% Monthly Drop on Middle East Jitters

The British pound drifted toward $1.32, lingering near its lowest since early December and on track for a monthly decline of over 1% against the US dollar. Risk aversion dominated markets as traders assessed the economic risks from the protracted Middle East conflict, with reports of US troop preparations for a potential ground operation overshadowing […]

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Attracts bids near 0.5725 as risk-on revives

The NZD/USD pair claws back its early losses and flattens around 0.5745 during the early European trading session on Monday. The Kiwi pair bounces back from its over two-month low of 0.5725, the lowest low seen in over two months. The pair attracts bids as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) bounces back due to the […]

USD/CHF rebounds toward two-month highs near 0.8000 as KOF index weakens

USD/CHF continues its winning streak for the fifth successive day, trading around a two-month high of 0.8000 during the early European hours on Monday. The pair recovers its daily losses following the release of the Swiss KOF Leading Indicator, which fell to 96.1 in February, from 103.8 (revised from 104.2) in January. However, the downside […]

AUD/USD edges up from from 0.6840 low but risk aversion limits rallies

The Aussie Dollar (AUD) is trimming losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday. The pair bounced from two-month lows around 0.6840 but is struggling to rise above 0.6870, as negative market sentiment keeps weighing on any significant Aussie recovery. Investors’ mood remains sour on Monday, as the Middle East War gets messier by the day. The […]

EUR/USD edges higher as Dollar takes breather after weekly surge

EUR/USD edges higher on Friday after early weakness, as the US Dollar (USD) pulls back from intraday highs, offering some support to the Euro (EUR). At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1545, recovering from a daily low at 1.1501. The pullback in the US Dollar appears largely technical, as buyers take a breather following […]

GBP/USD holds above 1.3300 as haven bids lift the US Dollar

The British Pound (GBP) holds firm during the North American session on Friday, clings above the 1.3300 figure, yet seems poised to finish the week with 0.20% losses against the US Dollar (USD). Risk aversion due to an energy shock caused by the Middle East conflict and the haven appeal of the Greenback keep GBP/USD on its way to […]

EUR/GBP keeps hovering around 0.8650, unfazed by UK consumption data

The Euro (EUR) keeps trading sideways against the British Pound (GBP) on Friday, oscillating within a tight range around the 0.8650 level for the fourth consecutive day, on track for a 0.25% weekly decline. The stronger-than-expected UK  Retail Sales figures released earlier on the day have failed to provide any significant support to the Sterling. Data released by […]

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Resumes downside after failing to hold above 200-day EMA

The EUR/USD pair trades subduedly around 1.1520 during the European trading session on Friday. The major currency pair faces slight selling pressure as the US Dollar (USD) trades firmly with hopes of a de-escalation in the Middle East war easing, which involves the United States (US), Israel, and Iran. During the press time, the US […]

Chart of The Day – USD/JPY

USDJPY remains under strong pressure, trading in the 159.50–159.80 range, close to the psychological barrier of 160.00. Current price movements are driven by a combination of dollar strength, concerns over potential Japanese government intervention, and macroeconomic and geopolitical factors. Source: xStation5 What shapes USDJPY movements? Dollar strength and global tensionsUSDJPY is supported by the overall […]

Australian Dollar falls to two-month lows on US–Iran peace uncertainty

AUD/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.6880 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair recorded a two-month low of 0.6877, pressured by weakness in the Australian Dollar (AUD) as rising oil prices weigh on sentiment amid uncertainty surrounding United States (US)–Iran peace talks. US President Donald Trump said earlier […]

EUR/USD inches up after Trump’s Hormuz deadline extension; remains below mid-1.1500s

The EUR/USD pair edges higher during the Asian session on Friday, though it lacks bullish conviction and risks attracting fresh sellers amid a bullish US Dollar (USD). Nevertheless, spot prices, for now, seem to have snapped a three-day losing streak and currently trade around the 1.1535-1.1540 area, up nearly 0.10% for the day. US President Donald […]

Canadian Dollar gains as US Dollar weakens on easing risk aversion

USD/CAD halts its four-day winning streak, trading around 1.3850 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair weakens as the US Dollar (USD) softens on decreasing risk aversion after recent remarks from US President Donald Trump. Trump said Washington would pause attacks on Iran’s energy sector for 10 days at Tehran’s request, extending the April 6 deadline […]

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Snaps three-day losing streak as market sentiment improves

The GBP/USD pair snaps its three-day losing streak on Friday, trading 0.1% higher to near 1.3345 during the Asian trading session. The Cable rises as the market sentiment turns favorable for riskier assets, following United States (US) President Donald Trump’s extended pause on scheduled attacks on Iranian power plants until April 6, which boosts hopes of […]

AUD/USD remains under pressure as geopolitical risks support the US Dollar

AUD/USD trades around 0.6920 on Thursday at the time of writing, down 0.35% on the day, and remains close to its monthly lows amid a bearish consolidation phase. The pair struggles to stage any meaningful rebound as the US Dollar (USD) continues to draw solid support. Market sentiment remains fragile despite conciliatory remarks from US President […]

Trade of The Day – EUR/USD

Facts: Recommendation:  Trade: Short position on the EUR/USD pair at market price Take Profit 1: 1,14850 Take Profit 2: 1,14240 Stop: 1.16415  Opinion: The EUR/USD pair failed to break above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which is a key technical signal confirming the euro’s continued weakness against the dollar. The price remains below the […]

USD/CHF edges up to near 0.7925 as US Dollar remains firm amid Middle East uncertainty

The USD/CHF pair ticks higher to near 0.7925 during the European trading session on Thursday. The Swiss Franc pair gains as the US Dollar (USD) holds onto gains amid growing doubts over an early ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran, following the release of Tehran’s conditions. During the press time, the US Dollar […]

EUR/GBP holds above 0.8650 as hawkish ECB comments support the Euro

The Euro (EUR) edges up slightly against the British Pound (GBP) on Thursday, yet moving within previous ranges, following downbeat German consumer confidence figures and hawkish comments by European Central Bank (ECB) member and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. Nagel said earlier on Thursday that an interest rate hike in April will be an option at next month’s ECB meeting “if […]

GBP moves little as uncertainty prevails over US-Iran peace talks

GBP/USD remains flat after two days of losses, hovering around 1.3360 during the Asian trading hours on Thursday. The pair remains steady as the US Dollar (USD) holds firm, with traders closely tracking developments in the Middle East amid persistent uncertainty over efforts to end the Iran war. The White House stated that talks are ongoing, […]

Japanese Yen hangs near YTD low vs. USD amid Middle East tensions, intervention fears

The USD/JPY pair consolidates around mid-159.00s during the Asian session on Thursday and remains within striking distance of its highest level since July 2024, touched earlier this month. The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues with its relative underperformance amid concerns that the war-driven surge in energy prices would weigh on Japan’s trade balance and economic outlook. Furthermore, […]

USD/CAD extends rally to near 1.3830 amid uncertainty over Middle East conflicts

The USD/CAD pair extends its winning streak for the fourth trading day on Thursday and jumps to near 1.3830 during the Asian trading session, the highest level seen in two months. The Loonie pair trades firmly as the US Dollar (USD) rises amid uncertainty surrounding the war in the Middle East, which involves the United States (US), […]

NZD/USD trades with caution near 0.5800 as Iran rejects US ceasefire proposal

The NZD/USD pair trades cautiously near 0.5800 during the Asian trading session on Thursday. The Kiwi is under pressure as Iran’s rejection to ceasefire proposal and 15-point settlement plan by United States (US) President Donald Trump has raised concerns over hopes of de-escalation in Middle East conflicts. On Wednesday, Iran’s Fars news agency reported that Tehran doesn’t see […]

AUD moves little following RBA’s Kent cautious remarks

AUD/USD steadies after two days of losses, trading around 0.6950 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The pair trades flat as the Australian Dollar (AUD) stays steady. This follows Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Christopher Kent’s warning that policymakers may need to contain inflation amid rising energy prices. Kent also noted the board will […]

GBP/JPY holds above 213.00, eyes monthly high amid bearish JPY sentiment

The GBP/JPY cross holds steady above the 213.00 mark during the Asian session on Thursday and remains close to a one-month peak, retested earlier this week. Moreover, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bullish traders and suggests that the path of least resistance for spot prices is to the upside. Investors remain worried that […]

USD/JPY climbs as US Dollar strength outweighs hawkish BoJ, geopolitical risks

USD/JPY trades around 159.00 on Wednesday at the time of writing, up 0.18% on the day. The pair continues to draw support from sustained demand for the US Dollar (USD) in an environment marked by persistent geopolitical uncertainty. The Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to attract buyers despite the release of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) […]

EUR/USD under pressure as Iran pushes back against US ceasefire proposal

The Euro (EUR) trades under pressure against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday, as the Greenback remains well supported amid conflicting headlines surrounding US-Iran ceasefire efforts. While Washington is pushing for a diplomatic breakthrough, uncertainty over Tehran’s response continues to underpin demand for the safe-haven Greenback. At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1585, […]

Currency Talk – GBP/AUD AUD/NZD EUR/AUD

The Overbalance analysis aims to identify three financial instruments, analyzed primarily on the daily/four-hour (D1/H4) timeframe. The analysis uses only the Overbalance methodology, which helps determine where a trend may continue or where it may reverse.Today’s analysis covers three instruments, evaluated solely in terms of 1:1 correction structures. GBPAUDSince last November, the GBPAUD currency pair […]

Australian Dollar underperforms as Iran pushes back hopes of peace talks

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades lower against its major currency peers, trading 0.6% down to near 0.6760 during the Asian trading session on Tuesday. The antipodean has come under pressure as remarks from Iran that they are not involved in any peace talks with the United States (US), which were contrary to comments from President Donald […]

Pound Sterling weakens as Middle East tensions escalate

The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading near 1.3400 during the Asian session on Tuesday. The risk-sensitive pair weakens amid rising risk aversion as US-aligned Gulf states move closer to direct involvement in the Iran conflict, with Saudi Arabia signaling a potential military shift, according to a Wall Street Journal […]

EUR/USD slips below 1.1600 as Middle East tensions escalate

EUR/USD loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous session, trading around 1.1590 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) gains on increased risk aversion amid escalating Middle East conflict. The Guardian reported on Tuesday that the Israeli military noted that it had launched a fresh wave of strikes […]

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